Unjudged Predictions
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A2 ( 93% confidence )
Created by davatk on 2021-07-31; known on 2021-07-31; judged unknown by davatk on 2021-07-31.
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Wallat J Granulom/Fettgewebsnekrose und keine Endometriose ( 80% confidence )
Created by prosti on 2021-07-08; known on 2021-07-26.
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[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] CM ( 95% confidence )
Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.
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[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] SP ( 90% confidence )
Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.
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[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] IC ( 99% confidence )
Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.
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[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] S2 ( 60% confidence )
Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.
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[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] S1 ( 50% confidence )
Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.
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[Project will be published [or privately completed] by Jun 30] NKU ( 70% confidence )
Created by marcus_a_davis on 2021-01-13; known on 2021-07-01.
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Computer users who have stickers on their laptop are as a group more aggressive and more likely to get into arguments online than those who do not have stickers ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-03; known on 2021-06-03.
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behnke 13.02.1965 GCT ( 80% confidence )
Created by prosti on 2021-05-05; known on 2021-06-01.
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I am going to resign before the end of May ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Alk on 2021-04-06; known on 2021-05-31.
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26.05.1963 08.04.21 DNET MVNT ( 80% confidence )
Created by Almatter on 2021-04-23; known on 2021-05-23.
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I am banned from Facebook ( 23% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-23; known on 2021-05-22.
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If i study hard, i could be the best ! ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-05-11; known on 2021-05-11.
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Going to finish 2 books in April ( 90% confidence )
Created by Alk on 2021-04-06; known on 2021-04-30.
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2020 California summer crops will fail (<= 75% of [<=$28.5 billion] 2018 harvest income according to USDA). ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by EnergyParade on 2020-02-26; known on 2021-04-15.
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Flying cars by 2025 ( 1% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by robbins042 on 2021-04-05; known on 2021-04-05.
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Heike Behnke gct ( 80% confidence )
Created by prosti on 2021-03-26; known on 2021-04-01.
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I will still be using Prediction Book in 3 year's time. ( 60% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2021-03-29.
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A major fast food restaurant, or a 3rd-party company attempts drone delivery within 5 years. (Judgment right if available in more than one area) ( 75% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by jesselevine on 2016-03-25; known on 2021-03-25.
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I won't wake up sick tommorrow ( 90% confidence )
Created by sallatik on 2021-03-22; known on 2021-03-23.
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Russia's GDP will decline by more than 10% this year #coronavirus , https://twitter.com/akarlin88/status/1240818241502658566 (duplicating March 20 bet) ( 50% confidence )
Created by akarlin on 2020-06-17; known on 2021-03-15.
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PA will get snow tomorrow. ( 40% confidence )
Created by Taylorb on 2021-02-16; known on 2021-02-16.
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PAP becomes privatized and murders former shenzenites ( 58% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-02-04; known on 2021-02-04.
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At least four GiveWell staff members with inputs in our cost-effectiveness model change their moral weights for either valuing health vs. income or age-weighting by at least 25%, and they attribute that change to IDinsight's beneficiary preferences survey ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2019-06-23; known on 2021-02-01.
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“If present trends continue, over the next ten years almost $500 billion of Title IV loans will have been funneled to this industry. We estimate total defaults of $275 billion, and because of fees associated with defaults, for profit students will owe $3 ( 65% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-17; known on 2021-02-01.
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The queen of England will be killed by muslims(aka terrorists). ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by Vaibhav_Srivastva on 2020-12-01; known on 2021-02-01; judged unknown by sty.silver on 2022-07-19.
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19.12.1982 Solitärer fibröser Tumor myxoides Stroma/Hämangioperizytom Schwannom ( 60% confidence )
Created by prosti on 2021-01-20; known on 2021-01-27.
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Trump's investigation into illegal voting will report at least 500,000 illegal votes cast in the 2016 election. ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by regex on 2017-01-25; known on 2021-01-25.
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L frontal pilocytic astrocytoma MRN: 036220407 ( 70% confidence )
Created by mohalagha1987 on 2021-01-19; known on 2021-01-25.
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Total US hate crimes incidents (see comment) will not be more than 125% at any year during Trump presidency. ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by splorridge on 2016-11-17; known on 2021-01-20.
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Neither Trump nor any of his officials (Cabinet, etc) will endorse the KKK, Stormfront, or explicit neo-Nazis publicly, refuse to back down, etc, and keep their job. ( 87% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by splorridge on 2016-11-17; known on 2021-01-20.
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US Muslim population increases throughout Trump’s presidency. ( 70% confidence; 10 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by splorridge on 2016-11-17; known on 2021-01-20.
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Total minority population of US citizens will increase throughout Trump presidency. ( 93% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by splorridge on 2016-11-17; known on 2021-01-20.
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Mealsquares will be more popular than soylent (by number of customers) by 2020 ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2021-01-16.
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AWS will announce an ap-southeast-3 region for Western Australia, by the end of 2020 ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by bly on 2019-12-04; known on 2021-01-16.
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on time ( 40% confidence )
Created by linz07 on 2020-12-06; known on 2021-01-16.
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I will stick to nopo tomorrow ( 50% confidence )
Created by projectaligned on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-12.
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wear invisalign tomorrow for at least 6 hours ( 25% confidence )
Created by projectaligned on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-12.
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I can finish MECHANICS OF MATERIAL homework today. ( 20% confidence )
Created by gohbinwei on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-01-12.
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I get banned from GoodReads ( 75% confidence; 4 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-09; known on 2021-01-10; judged unknown by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16.
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We will be able to identify the genome-wide significant SNPs (collectively) responsible for 10% of the heritability in adult IQ by 2020 ( 16% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-15; known on 2021-01-03.
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The total hate crime incidents as measured by the FBI's Uniform Crime Report will be no more than 125% of their 2015 value at any year during a Trump presidency, conditional on similar reporting methodology. ( 56% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2016-11-18; known on 2021-01-02.
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Data published by Cisco in 2019 or 2020 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2019 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 186 EB. ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-04; known on 2021-01-02.
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Bicycling mortality rate in US will be above 0.16 in 2020 ( 48% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by btrettel on 2015-08-22; known on 2021-01-02.
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I will use PredictionBook at least once a month until Jan 2021 ( 51% confidence )
Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-19; known on 2021-01-01.
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The Netherlands will make their 2020 Urgenda climate goal ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Stucwerk on 2019-11-26; known on 2021-01-01.
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For the year of 2020, natural gas will account for a higher percentage of US energy consumption than wind and solar power combined. ( 60% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-08-18; known on 2021-01-01.
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US obesity rate above 28.9% in 2020 ( 59% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by btrettel on 2015-08-26; known on 2021-01-01.
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“By 2020, solar energy will be price-competitive with energy generated from fossil fuels on an unsubsidized basis in most parts of the world.” – Vivek Wadhwa ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by btrettel on 2015-08-13; known on 2021-01-01.