Unjudged Predictions
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2205049129 Hình ảnh khối dạng nang buồng trứng phải, có nốt đặc hạn chế khuếch tán và ngấm thuốc ở thành (ORADS 4). ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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2205053916 Hình ảnh khối dạng nang buồng trứng phải có vỏ và vách mỏng ngấm thuốc, ranh giới rõ (O-RADS 3). ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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2102013739 PHẠM VĂN LUÂN nang cạnh sụn chêm trong ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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By June 8, 2022, estimated US deaths for COVID-19 based on excess mortality will be less than 5 million deaths. ( 86% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-07; known on 2022-06-15.
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2205048464 dày thành đại tràng sigma ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-15.
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2104041357 LÊ THỊ HỒNG HIỂN Hình ảnh cấu trúc dạng nang nằm sát bờ dưới khớp cùng chậu phải, dịch bên trong không đồng nhất => Sinh thiết: ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-08.
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Venezuela and Cuba will join forces and sponsor marxist insurrection movements in one or more latin american countries, and those will cause at least one of {coup d'état,civil war,war} ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-06; known on 2022-06-06.
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Iran will provide nuclear weapons to a terrorist group that will use one of them against israel or the united states ( 2% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-06; known on 2022-06-06.
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Merlon intelligence will reach a billion dollar valuation in 5 years ( 20% confidence )
Created by Peteris on 2017-06-05; known on 2022-06-05.
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arriverà a 25.000 followers il 17 maggio ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Luca on 2021-11-23; known on 2022-05-17.
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All Georgia Tech classes go remote during the Spring 2022 semester ( 19% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-05-15.
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The moon will explode within a billion years ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by kriscooper000 on 2022-04-12; known on 2022-04-12; judged unknown by sty.silver on 2022-04-30.
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Ashley and I will make it to the movies. ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ooga on 2022-04-03; known on 2022-04-03; judged unknown by rlourie on 2022-04-30.
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I will judge my decision to pay for wop+ to be a good investment in 18 months ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by grin on 2020-09-07; known on 2022-03-07.
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New Zealand will open borders to vaccinated travelers by February 2022 ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by enochthechronocom on 2021-09-08; known on 2022-02-15.
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Bugzy Malone will release a #1 UK album or EP in the next 5 years. (If he dies or goes to jail for more than 6 months this prediction will be withdrawn) ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by bendini on 2017-02-14; known on 2022-02-14.
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employer will approve my request to stay remote indefinitely ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2021-12-07; known on 2022-02-01.
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Germany to cancel phase-out of nuclear power by 2022. ( 22% confidence; 12 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by simplicio on 2013-01-18; known on 2022-02-01; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2022-03-12.
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I will complete and publish the scout mindset review by 2022-02-01 ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by blin on 2021-12-29; known on 2022-02-01.
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SpaceX to beat Boeing in their informal space race (first boots on Mars). ( 80% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2017-12-12; known on 2022-01-16.
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The average degree of automation changes for key US professions in between December 2020 and January 2022 by >1 (as assessed by this Metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6149/change-in-degree-of-automation/). ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2022-01-14.
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conditional on DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.95.1.128 being replicated with a non W.E.I.R.D. sample of test subjects & n>=400, test subjects will be more or less accurate in assessment of likelihood of assistance given (prdcted M>24.5 or M<16.6) ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-07-16; known on 2022-01-02.
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Data published by Cisco in 2020 or 2021 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2020 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 228 EB. ( 39% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-05; known on 2022-01-02.
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Literature – Part three of the Kingkiller Chronicle trilogy is not going to be released before 2022-01-01. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by NickN on 2020-08-16; known on 2022-01-01.
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US bicycle mode share will increase in the 2020 Census over 2010 ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by btrettel on 2015-05-11; known on 2022-01-01.
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Between now and 2022, a religion, subsect, or religious movement will be founded and grow to over 10,000 followers that has explicit ties to Judaism/Christianity/Islam, but rejects the omnipotence of God. ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by HonoreDB on 2011-12-03; known on 2022-01-01.
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There will NOT be any hyperinflation (>10% CBI compared to the previous year) in the USA in 2021 ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by The_Offwo on 2021-05-10; known on 2022-01-01.
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OoTS: MitD is the Snarl. ( 15% confidence; 11 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by ygert on 2013-06-30; known on 2022-01-01.
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My paper will not receive comments by the end of 2021. ( 80% confidence )
Created by jakebeardsley on 2021-12-17; known on 2022-01-01.
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Open Philanthropy Project's December 2016 grant to Impact Justice's Restorative Justice Project will play an important role in getting traction for the concept of restorative justice on a national level (United States) by 2020-01-01 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2022-01-01.
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Lebron James will average a triple double in an NBA season during his career ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-29; known on 2022-01-01.
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Will Boston's snowfall in 2020-2021 be below average? ( 60% confidence )
Created by InquilineKea on 2020-12-01; known on 2022-01-01.
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Most of the gene sites accounting for the additive heritability of g (0.6) will be identified by 2021. — Steve Hsu ( 47% confidence; 8 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Pablo on 2012-10-13; known on 2022-01-01.
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Bharat will be ranked 7th in 2021, up from 13th in 2014 in the Nature Index.(Qualitative Science ranking) ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-10; known on 2021-12-25.
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Bharat will be ranked 4th in the world by 2021 for zinc production. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2021-12-25.
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EU's world share in science papers declined from 38.5% in 2003 to 35.5% in 2012, and by 2021 will be under 32.5%. — Web of Science, Thomson Reuters ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-25.
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Bharat will meet or exceed the Copenhagen pledge to reduce the emissions intensity of GDP by 20–25% in 2020 compared to 2005 levels. ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-04; known on 2021-12-25.
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Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-25.
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Bharat will be ranked No3 in the world for science by 2022(ranked by Citable documents, Scopus DB). ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-30; known on 2021-12-16.
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Brasil’s research papers in Web of Science increased in 2003 to 2012 from 1.7% to 2.7%. It's world share will be at least 3.7% by 2021. ( 79% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-16.
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Bharat had 21,269 Web of science papers in 2003 to 45,639 in 2012.Bharat's world share will increase from 3.6% to a lower bound of 4.7%, 66,700 science papers by 2021. ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-10.
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World share in science papers for the United States fell from 33% in 2003 to 27.8% in 2012.By 2021 it will be under 22.6%. — Web of Science, Thomson Reuters ( 88% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2021-12-10.
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The total number of deaths in Florida for the week ending October 2, 2021 (as reported at https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm) will exceed 5,000. ( 90% confidence )
Created by gmcculley on 2021-09-30; known on 2021-12-01.
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Vaccinated Canberrans will not be permitted to go camping at NSW national park campgrounds and return to the ACT without quarantining until after 24 November ( 85% confidence )
Created by samcoggins55@gmail.com on 2021-09-22; known on 2021-11-24.
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Long segment colonic marked wall thickening. Ascites. Lymphadenopathies. Long HIV infection. Hpe: colonic lymphoma. Rn 1069762. ( 65% confidence )
Created by Akram1 on 2021-08-19; known on 2021-11-18.
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Personal – It will take me 1 month or less to find a new job ( 55% confidence )
Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2021-11-15.
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Jérémie Zimmermann gets caught up in some kind of sex scandal (a la Julian Assange/Jacob Appelbaum) and is forced to withdraw from public life ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-08; known on 2021-11-08.
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US will default on debt by the end of October 2021 ( 62% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2021-09-29; known on 2021-11-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2021-10-13.
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0xB4DC0D3C will invite and meet cloe in Venice in 2025 and it will be great! 😃 ( 100% confidence )
Created by 0xB4DC0D3C on 2021-10-25; known on 2021-10-25.