AI to beat at least one of the ten top-ranked humans in Starcraft Brood War by January 1, 2023 ( 68% confidence; 9 wagers; 11 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-23; known on 2023-01-01.

Uber's valuation to be less than half that of its 2015 valuation by 2022 ( 30% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-09; known on 2023-01-01.

The US will have have laws or regulations to outlaw normal people destroying drones by end of 2022 (10 years from now) ( 48% confidence; 7 wagers; 33 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-06; known on 2022-12-31.

[Marginal Revolution] Facebook Credits, or some other pseudo-currency, will become widely accepted for offline transactions throughout the world within ten years. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by chemotaxis101 on 2012-03-02; known on 2022-12-31.

Kliemannsland will have rebranded or closed by the end of 2022. ( 60% confidence )

Created by Leifa on 2022-06-27; known on 2022-12-31.

Conditional on me asking Kyle Ivey for the source code to QC Bus Chaser app source code under a license respecting the 4 freedoms, Kyle provides the source code under this license. ( 11% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-10; known on 2022-12-31.

China's Cap and Trade system still up and running ( 66% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-04; known on 2022-12-31.

I will get to 12% bodyfat by the end of 2022 ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Mckiev on 2022-04-22; known on 2022-12-31.

DRM-free games now selling more copies than DRM-encumbered ones ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-10; known on 2022-12-31.

Hollow Knight: Silksong releases in 2022. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by galaga on 2022-02-12; known on 2022-12-31.

I picked a major professional goal ( 18% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Mckiev on 2022-04-22; known on 2022-12-31.

I will end up opening that business with my teacher before the end of 2022 ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2022-12-31.

Conditional on vaccine mandates being enacted, my sister will get vaccinated by end of 2022 ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sty.silver on 2021-12-05; known on 2022-12-31.

Some technology invented after 2017 that actually scares me. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-08-29; known on 2022-12-31.

CL will not win the next N23 trivia quiz ;-) ( 89% confidence )

Created by TheOrme on 2022-05-05; known on 2022-12-31.

In 2022, The New York Times will follow up it's article on free speech in the U.S. by suggesting that mainstream news organizations should hire more conservative writers (affirmative action for conservatives). ( 80% confidence )

Created by adanvers on 2022-03-31; known on 2022-12-31.

“In 2022 the US economy will no longer be held to be the world leader in global environmental degradation.” ( 79% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2022-12-31.

Between 2020 and end of 2022, no non-Apple laptop will be released which performs better on general performance benchmarks than the lowest-priced laptop currently offered by Apple. ( 46% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by topherhunt on 2020-12-12; known on 2022-12-31.

I will meet definition of 'literally homeless' at some point before December 30th 2022 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2022-12-30.

Worldwide biometric ID system will go online by 2022, unknown to the standard publics awareness. ( 13% confidence; 10 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2022-12-30.

Cameron will be 81.6kg 1 month from when he purchased his walking pad ( 50% confidence )

Created by johnranin@gmail.com on 2022-11-30; known on 2022-12-30.

Bharat will pass Nihon on the IMF's ranking of world's biggest economies. Bharat will be the 3rd biggest economy at GDP current prices in the world in 2022. However, Bharat will be one rank higher as the 2nd biggest economy in PPP terms. ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-13; known on 2022-12-27.

Malnutrition trends in Bharat:By 2022 Wasting will be at 8.2% among under 3 children. ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) of Bharat has released a year-by-year breakdown of solar capacity targets by states to reach its overall 100 GW solar capacity target by 2022. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-13; known on 2022-12-25.

Spain will default on its debt by 2022. ( 39% confidence; 10 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Banning of incandescent light bulbs globally by 2022.Incandescent lightbulbs will not be bought, manufactured or sold legally. ( 10% confidence; 17 wagers; 17 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2022-12-25.

By 2022, child malnutrition(underweight) in Bharat will fall to 18.4%. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Eurozone sovereign debt crisis by 2022. ( 91% confidence; 3 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank will pass the World Bank in terms of loans(billions of dollars per year) made. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-25.

The 2015 budget has 60 GW of wind power by 2022. Bharat will then place 2nd in the world from 5th. Source: Global Wind Energy Council http://www.gwec.net/ ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2022-12-25.

Zhongguo will be No 1 nation in nuclear power by 2022. ( 60% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2022-12-25.

Kamala Harris will attend the Queen's funeral ( 65% confidence )

Created by johnmichaelbridge on 2022-09-15; known on 2022-12-19.

Malnutrition trends in Bharat: Stunting -Under 3 children in 2022 will be under 32.5%. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-17.

palmeiras não será tricampeão da libertadores ( 100% confidence )

Created by eduardomarciano on 2022-01-29; known on 2022-12-16.

Jair Bolsonaro not impeached until the end of his mandate ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2022-12-16.

The New Development Bank will make more loans in billions of dollars per year, than the IMF by 2022. ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-16.

Lula will be elected Brazil's next president in 2022. ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by okayspm on 2021-10-04; known on 2022-12-11.

Eduardo Leite (PSDB) se candidata à presidência nas eleições de 2022. ( 65% confidence )

Created by rapinoinfeliz on 2020-07-22; known on 2022-12-01.

Conjecture is at least somewhat often referred to as “The ‘Ject’”, as judged by either Ian or Tamera saying it is (only one has to agree) on November 15th 2022. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by peterbarnett on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-11-15.

The user 8 will not write a single line of APL code that is relevant to his project. ( 99% confidence )

Created by bingbingwahoo on 2021-11-12; known on 2022-11-10.

Republicans will win back both chambers of congress in 2022 ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2022-11-08.

t ( 30% confidence )

Created by tara on 2022-10-31; known on 2022-10-31.

No human genome will be completely sequenced in the next 5 years. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by aoeu on 2017-10-23; known on 2022-10-24.

I've spent 200 hours on one particular project ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Mckiev on 2022-04-22; known on 2022-10-22.

I'm going to get blocks setup so that i check messaging once a day before 5 pm on laptop/only use phone for them by next Wednesday ( 80% confidence )

Created by rajlego on 2022-10-14; known on 2022-10-19.

Within ten years, at least one planet of < 3 Earth masses will be discovered in one of the liquid water habitable zones in the Alpha Centauri system. ( 43% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-10-17; known on 2022-10-18.