Within ten years, a planet will be discovered in at least one of the (liquid water) habitable zones in the Alpha Centauri system. ( 56% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-10-17; known on 2022-10-18.

test ( 10% confidence )

Created by tara on 2022-10-14; known on 2022-10-14.

The SpaceX BFS to Mars missions will not stick to the schedule announced at IAC 2017. ( 84% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-10-03; known on 2022-10-01.

Alex Azzi Prediction: He will earn 100k / mo $ PROFIT on the jewelry brand by October 2022 ( 70% confidence )

Created by maneesh on 2021-09-03; known on 2022-10-01.

Within 10 years I will be able to buy a 3D printed object at a local mall. ( 89% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by learnmethis on 2012-09-26; known on 2022-09-26.

It will be just as easy to view copyrighted films and tv shows online (with or without permission) in 10 years as it is now. ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by learnmethis on 2012-09-26; known on 2022-09-26.

Hans Dehmelt will become a centenarian ( 20% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-10; known on 2022-09-16.

[We will throw away the current data] within a year ( 70% confidence )

Created by beth_b on 2022-08-01; known on 2022-09-01.

Training a new adversarial policy against kata1-b40c256-s11840935168-d2898845681 at 1600 playouts using the same hyperparameters we've been using thus far will fail to achieve a win rate of more than 50%. ( 70% confidence )

Created by norabelrose on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-08-24.

Within the next ten years, Kepler 36b & Kepler 36c will be theorized in a peer-reviewed publication to be a case of planetary enucleation—b being the dense former core of c. ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-08-21; known on 2022-08-21.

Burning Man will not receive an event permit from the BLM for 2022 ( 30% confidence )

Created by rbierle on 2022-07-25; known on 2022-08-16.

I will drop out of my PhD program after 2 years ( 30% confidence )

Created by Radish on 2020-08-12; known on 2022-08-12.

Gas prices go up in one week ( 80% confidence )

Created by skcdsjfdfs on 2022-08-09; known on 2022-08-10.

Kari Lake will win the 2022 Arizona Republican gubernatorial nomination. ( 95% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by nmehndir on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-08-04.

Fin du pass sanitaire/vaccinal le 31 juillet 2022 pour les bars et restaurants en France métropolitaine ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by 0uGiL on 2022-01-23; known on 2022-08-01.

The adversarial policies we've trained as of July 27, 2022 will have a win rate of under 50% against the medium KataGo checkpoint at 512 playouts with the hardened passing policy proposed by Tony. ( 85% confidence )

Created by norabelrose on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-07-30.

US govt won't file criminal charges against a C-level executive of an American bank in America for the next 10 years ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-07-23; known on 2022-07-23.

2206045074 CAO QUỲNH GIANG Hình ảnh khối tổn thương trong phần mềm dưới da vùng má phải chủ yếu là tín hiệu xơ. neurofibroma? ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-27; known on 2022-07-18.

2206045654 NGUYỄN NGỌC KHÔI u tế bào khổng lồ bao gân gấp (Giant cell tumour of the tendon sheath). ( 70% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-27; known on 2022-07-18.

5 or more people on the second meeting EA ( 95% confidence )

Created by Ionelo on 2022-06-16; known on 2022-07-18.

I will visit Colombia in July ( 80% confidence )

Created by Andref2015 on 2021-12-07; known on 2022-07-16.

2206041762 Hình ảnh các khối u trong ống sống ngang mức T12—>L2 và L4—>S2, theo dõi Myxopapillary ependymoma, chèn ép nón tủy và đuôi ngựa ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-22; known on 2022-07-13.

2206008001 NGUYỄN THỊ DUNG Hình ảnh khối tổn thương ngấm thuốc góc dưới ngoài vú trái có hoại tử trung tâm (Kaiser Score 8 điểm – BIRADS 5). ( 70% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-27; known on 2022-07-11.

Open Phil makes a grant to support clean meat within 5 years. ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Michael Dickens on 2017-07-11; known on 2022-07-11.

Medijastinuma tvorba 696396 ( 95% confidence )

Created by kpausek on 2022-06-26; known on 2022-07-10.

Monkeypox reaches 50 in MA by July 1st ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ionelo on 2022-06-16; known on 2022-07-01.

Junior doctor's will strike against the decision of a 3% rise ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by razcle on 2021-07-22; known on 2022-07-01.

There will be at least one implanted device (medical or otherwise) on the market that runs a Linux-based OS within the next 10 years. ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-07-01; known on 2022-07-01.

Every member of the 30 person group of which I am thinking will achieve goal X in the next nine months ( 97% confidence )

Created by DiegoDuarte on 2021-09-25; known on 2022-06-30.

Personal – In 1 year I will move to Missoula, MT ( 35% confidence )

Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2022-06-28.

Personal – In 1 year I will move or have a firm plan to move (housing lined up, house for sale etc.) ( 60% confidence )

Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2022-06-28.

2205049129 Hình ảnh khối dạng nang buồng trứng phải, có nốt đặc hạn chế khuếch tán và ngấm thuốc ở thành (ORADS 4). ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.

2205053916 Hình ảnh khối dạng nang buồng trứng phải có vỏ và vách mỏng ngấm thuốc, ranh giới rõ (O-RADS 3). ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.

2202008115 NGUYỄN KHẮC HƯỞNG Hình ảnh tuyến liền liệt tăng kích thước, hạn chế khuếch tán và tăng ngấm thuốc lan tỏa – hướng tới tổn thương viêm. Phù nề, thâm nhiễm kèm ít dịch quanh tuyến lan xuống phần mềm phía trước xương cụt. ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.

2102013739 PHẠM VĂN LUÂN nang cạnh sụn chêm trong ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.

By June 8, 2022, estimated US deaths for COVID-19 based on excess mortality will be less than 5 million deaths. ( 86% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-07; known on 2022-06-15.

2205048464 dày thành đại tràng sigma ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-15.

2104041357 LÊ THỊ HỒNG HIỂN Hình ảnh cấu trúc dạng nang nằm sát bờ dưới khớp cùng chậu phải, dịch bên trong không đồng nhất => Sinh thiết: ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-08.

Venezuela and Cuba will join forces and sponsor marxist insurrection movements in one or more latin american countries, and those will cause at least one of {coup d'état,civil war,war} ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-06; known on 2022-06-06.

Iran will provide nuclear weapons to a terrorist group that will use one of them against israel or the united states ( 2% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-06; known on 2022-06-06.

Merlon intelligence will reach a billion dollar valuation in 5 years ( 20% confidence )

Created by Peteris on 2017-06-05; known on 2022-06-05.

arriverà a 25.000 followers il 17 maggio ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Luca on 2021-11-23; known on 2022-05-17.

All Georgia Tech classes go remote during the Spring 2022 semester ( 19% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-05-15.

I will judge my decision to pay for wop+ to be a good investment in 18 months ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by grin on 2020-09-07; known on 2022-03-07.

New Zealand will open borders to vaccinated travelers by February 2022 ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by enochthechronocom on 2021-09-08; known on 2022-02-15.

Bugzy Malone will release a #1 UK album or EP in the next 5 years. (If he dies or goes to jail for more than 6 months this prediction will be withdrawn) ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by bendini on 2017-02-14; known on 2022-02-14.

employer will approve my request to stay remote indefinitely ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by EloiseRosen on 2021-12-07; known on 2022-02-01.