At least one current member will drop out of the Euro.

Created by Matt Newport 2 months ago; known in about 1 year

• Matt Newport estimated 70% 2 months ago
• Matt Newport made the prediction private and changed the deadline from “in about 1 year” 2 months ago
• Matt Newport made the prediction public and changed the deadline from “in about 1 year” 2 months ago
• JFE estimated 75% against 2 months ago
• gwern estimated 85% and said “takes a long time to convert, and EU’s greek bailout demonstrates resolve.” about 1 month ago

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