Robin Hanson's brain will be cryogenically frozen.

Created by gwern on 2011-08-03; known on 2041-01-01

• gwern estimated 65% on 2011-08-03
• gwern said “context: hostile-wife phenomenon https://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/11/magazine/11cryonics-t.html” on 2011-08-03
• gwern said “see also http://lesswrong.com/lw/6vq/on_the_unpopularity_of_cryonics_life_sucks_but_at/4lpc” on 2011-08-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 8% on 2011-08-03
• Nic_Smith estimated 75% on 2011-08-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% and said “Implicit conjunction makes me reduce the estimate, since requires Hanson to die before age 82. ” on 2011-08-03
• Porejide estimated 70% on 2011-08-04
• PseudonymousUser said “I would not assume too readily that there is (1) no early singularity/collapse (2) cryo orgs still take new patients (3) Hanson dies that early (4) Hanson dies in a manner that allows for cryopreservation” on 2011-08-24
• Nic_Smith estimated 33% on 2011-08-24
• Will Newsome estimated 5% and said “Second bobpage, I’ll add that there may be life extension or general medical advances in the mean time which Hanson is much more likely than others to take advantage of.” on 2011-08-30
• Konkvistador estimated 60% on 2011-08-30
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2011-10-10
• Anubhav estimated 10% on 2011-10-10
• muflax estimated 30% on 2011-10-26
• lavalamp estimated 55% on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 50% and said “updating on what mindspillage told me” on 2011-12-01
• JoshuaZ said “Are you going to tell us what Kat said or this going to be a cryptic comment? ” on 2011-12-01
• Grognor estimated 56% on 2011-12-06
• gwern said “JoshuaZ: ’twas in private, so without her permission not going to quote or summarize it. that was more a reminder for future mes.” on 2011-12-10
• gwern said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/8073” on 2012-09-02
• Konkvistador estimated 60% on 2012-09-02
• Pablo estimated 50% on 2012-09-29
• halfwit estimated 70% on 2013-06-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2018-12-10
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-01-03
• pranomostro estimated 55% on 2019-01-03
• Baeboo estimated 50% on 2019-01-04
• pranomostro estimated 60% on 2019-11-23