Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
-
“Barcelona will beat Real Madrid 5-0 in the Copa del Rey final” – Barcelona president Sandro Rosell ( 10% confidence )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-03; known on 2011-04-21; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-21.
-
Tottenham will defeat Real Madrid on aggregate in the Champions League ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-06; known on 2011-04-21; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-21.
-
Tottenham will defeat Real Madrid on aggregate in the Champions League ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-06; known on 2011-04-21; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-21.
-
MUFC will beat Newcastle united by 2:0 ( 40% confidence )
Created by dumun on 2011-04-19; known on 2011-04-20; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-04-20.
-
The high school student that FY is meeting today will accept the request to develop the iOS app that she wants. ( 80% confidence )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-18; known on 2011-04-18; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-18.
-
Real Madrid will win Barcelona on Sunday ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by minhduc on 2011-04-15; known on 2011-04-17; judged wrong by minhduc on 2011-04-17.
-
Iphone 5 will release next year 2012 ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-12; known on 2013-01-01; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2011-04-17.
-
Northern hemisphere will be frozen into ice age by 2012 ( 5% confidence; 19 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-04-10; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-12-12.
-
The string cheese that I left in the TA office is still there. ( 85% confidence )
Created by Nic_Smith on 2011-04-16; known on 2011-04-17; judged right by Nic_Smith on 2011-04-17.
-
Iphone 5 will release next year 2012 ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-12; known on 2013-01-01; judged unknown by PseudonymousUser on 2011-04-17.
-
Northern hemisphere will be frozen into ice age by 2012 ( 5% confidence; 19 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Ye on 2011-04-10; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-12-12.
-
my cold will cover next 3 days, please! ( 80% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-11; known on 2011-04-16; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
my nose will recover “cold” tomorrow ( 60% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-09; known on 2011-04-10; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
I will finish The Making of Hongkong by midnight today ( 90% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-04; known on 2011-04-04; judged right by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
I can not finish Core this week, can not finish Book “Learning from Japanese city by this week” ( 90% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-26; known on 2011-04-30; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
Chelsea will meet Barcelona at Wembley Stadium ( 70% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-23; known on 2011-03-01; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
I can not finish any books ! ( 50% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-18; known on 2011-04-30; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
few ppl in our class will get cold this week! ;)) ( 90% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
she will call me or text me next weekend for dinner! ( 60% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-10; known on 2011-04-15; judged right by nam2001 on 2011-04-16.
-
80% of my students will sign up to prediction book and make two or more predictions by the end of March ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-02-11; known on 2011-04-01; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-16.
-
Tomorrow, It will rain when I wake up! ( 70% confidence )
Created by minhduc on 2011-04-15; known on 2011-04-16; judged right by minhduc on 2011-04-16.
-
To save money, I will cook my own dinner tonight. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Ye on 2011-04-13; known on 2011-04-13; judged right by Ye on 2011-04-14.
-
Ben will not be joining us for the camping trip. ( 99% confidence )
Created by Ye on 2011-03-16; known on 2011-03-20; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-14.
-
I'll finish my one of readings that i read before at the camping within this weekends. ( 90% confidence )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-14; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-04-14.
-
I'll go to fish market in the morning tomorrow ( 40% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-04-08; known on 2011-04-09; judged wrong by alvinTng on 2011-04-14.
-
I will beat Stephen in our latest game of 'Words with Friends' ( 50% confidence )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-18; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-14.
-
chelsea will eliminate man united in the quarterfinals of the champions league. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by puya on 2011-03-30; known on 2011-04-06; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-04-14.
-
I will finish mapping for 'The City' by next Thursday ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-31; known on 2011-04-07; judged right by Jessica Hartany on 2011-04-14.
-
60% of students will have lunch before yoga class!! ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by dumun on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-12; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-04-14.
-
MU 1-2 Chelsea next week game! ( 85% confidence )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-09; known on 2011-04-16; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-04-14.
-
I will attend today's public lecture. ( 80% confidence )
Created by puya on 2011-03-23; known on 2011-03-23; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-13.
-
“Rare pink diamond to fetch £7m at auction” ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-09; known on 2011-04-12; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-13.
-
Ben will be late for tomorrows class. ( 80% confidence )
Created by puya on 2011-04-11; known on 2011-04-12; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-12.
-
Liverpool will win Manchester City ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by minhduc on 2011-04-09; known on 2011-04-11; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-11.
-
10 or more people will attend tonight's compDesGrp session (http://bit.ly/f89qQt) ( 70% confidence )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-11; known on 2011-04-11; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-11.
-
5 or more people will attend tonight’s compDesGrp session (http://bit.ly/f89qQt) ( 90% confidence )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-11; known on 2011-04-11; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-04-11.
-
eun will come to library before 10AM in the morning. ( 90% confidence )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-04-07; known on 2011-04-07; judged right by sailoryoon on 2011-04-10.
-
I will do some research for tidal energy generation system tonight. ( 76% confidence )
Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-09; known on 2011-04-10; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-04-10.
-
I'm going to hunt and fish weighing half Kg ( 55% confidence )
Created by wael on 2011-04-09; known on 2011-04-10; judged right by wael on 2011-04-10.
-
It will rain for my soccer match tomorrow. ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by DavidPercival on 2011-04-08; known on 2011-04-10; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-04-10.
-
Nuclear problems in Japan will be solved at the end of April ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by minhduc on 2011-04-01; known on 2011-04-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-19.
-
“Fukushima 1 evacuation radius to be 30km or more before midnight ET 30 April 2011” – Intrade ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-01; known on 2011-05-01; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-01.
-
I will go shopping tonight with boy friend. ( 30% confidence )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-04-06; known on 2011-04-06; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-04-07.
-
I will finish tutorial 1 tonight for project management subject. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-04-07; known on 2011-04-07; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-04-07.
-
“Fukushima 1 evacuation radius to be 30km or more before midnight ET 30 April 2011” – Intrade ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-01; known on 2011-05-01; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-01.
-
Nuclear problems in Japan will be solved at the end of April ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by minhduc on 2011-04-01; known on 2011-04-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-19.
-
I will watch at least 2 movies by midnight ( 90% confidence )
Created by Ye on 2011-04-07; known on 2011-04-07; judged right by Ye on 2011-04-07.
-
I'll finish watching all the DVDs by tomorrow. ( 80% confidence )
Created by alvinTng on 2011-04-06; known on 2011-04-07; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-04-07.
-
Chelsea will win MU at SB in 1/4 CL ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-23; known on 2011-04-07; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-07.
-
I'll finish my one of readings that i read before at the camping within this weekends. ( 90% confidence )
Created by sailoryoon on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-14; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-04-14.