PredictionBook: Judged Predictions

Confidence	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%	100%	Total
Accuracy	50%	59%	67%	77%	88%	92%
Sample Size	11812	16505	16980	17616	31357	8046	102316

Gareth Pugh will take over at McQueen. ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-15; known on 2011-03-15; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-03-18.

Tavi is actually JT Leroy's newest incarnation. ( 41% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-03-18; known on 2011-03-18; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-03-18.

I will take IELTS on 19th March, morning and i will get 6.0 ! ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-04-30; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-03-18.

90% of classmates will be arrived in class on time ( 80% confidence )

Created by dumun on 2011-03-16; known on 2011-03-17; judged wrong by Ye on 2011-03-17.

I will struggle with the fitness training at Soccer tonight after my first Bikram Yoga session! ( 80% confidence )

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-16; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-03-17.

All clubs which are play home at second game in 1/8 Round Champions League will get into next round 1/4! ( 31% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-18; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-17.

Tamara(tutor of FPM) will give a chance to us to have Frank Gery's lecture next Tuesday (15th of March 2011). ( 65% confidence )

Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-15; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-16.

I will look to the shark map in Sydney on Wednesday? ( 85% confidence )

Created by wael on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-16; judged right by wael on 2011-03-16.

I will be on time on Friday ( 60% confidence )

Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-15.

angelina will get a window seat when she start work next week. ( 90% confidence )

Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-15; judged right by Jessica Hartany on 2011-03-15.

Ben will wear blue T-shitr on tuesday ( 80% confidence )

Created by wael on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-15; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-15.

I will finish my blog post about the generator before Monday ( 70% confidence )

Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-03-12; known on 2011-03-14; judged wrong by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-03-15.

less than 7 students will come to Ben's office today. ( 80% confidence )

Created by puya on 2011-03-15; known on 2011-03-15; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-15.

I will not late for work today!! ( 70% confidence )

Created by dumun on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-15; judged right by dumun on 2011-03-15.

I will aquire a copy of 'Children of the Dust' and watch the TV series in an attempt to develop an understanding of post-apocalyptic survival following nuclear war. ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-14; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-14.

I will finish at least one reading before sun-rise ( 80% confidence )

Created by dumun on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-15; judged right by dumun on 2011-03-14.

Three student will miss the yoga class ( 75% confidence )

Created by wael on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-12; judged wrong by wael on 2011-03-14.

Less than 7 students will attend the RUBY lesson today. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by puya on 2011-03-14; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-14.

I won't see my flatmate more than once this week. ( 70% confidence )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-14.

Nam will oversleep tomorrow and come to uni late… ( 70% confidence )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-13; known on 2011-03-14; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-14.

Our Qantas flight to Adelaide will depart Sydney on time tomorrow. ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-12; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-03-13.

Someone will make me drink at least 3 glass at the birthday party later..! ( 60% confidence )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-12; known on 2011-03-13; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-13.

I will eat "pho' " (vietnamese beef noodle soup) at least one in this week! I miss pho' ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-12; judged right by nam2001 on 2011-03-12.

I'll be in dreamland by 12am tonight… Tired… Zzz… ( 85% confidence )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-12.

I will make it to class on time on saturday. ( 30% confidence )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-12; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-11.

Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

I will be right time for yoga class! ( 80% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-03-11.

I will wake up early tomorrow, and go to library before 10 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by nam2001 on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by nam2001 on 2011-03-11.

6 of students from Ben's class will attend yoga class again ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by wael on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-13; judged wrong by wael on 2011-03-31.

I will remember to have lunch before 2pm for the next three days. ( 65% confidence )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

less than 12 students will attend my class today ( 75% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-10; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

6 of students from Ben's class will attend yoga class again ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by wael on 2011-03-11; known on 2011-03-13; judged wrong by wael on 2011-03-31.

I'll be massive drunk tmr night. ( 80% confidence )

Created by sailoryoon on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-03-10.

I'll be massive drunk tmr night. ( 80% confidence )

Created by sailoryoon on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by sailoryoon on 2011-03-10.

Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.

Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.

Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.

I'll finish a model before I sleep… ( 90% confidence )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-09; known on 2011-03-09; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-09.

Milan will beat Spurs on Wednesday. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-10; judged wrong by dumun on 2011-03-10.

Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

I will finish reading at least 3 chaters and papers by friday. ( 56% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged right by wael on 2011-03-09.

Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

I will fall asleep reading World War Z tonight due to exhaustion! ( 95% confidence )

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by DavidPercival on 2011-03-08.

Lee did not call Bethany tonight. ( 70% confidence )

Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-08.

Kelcey will text me tomorrow about something. ( 50% confidence )

Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by maxdemian on 2011-03-08.

Ben will be late for the yoga class. ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-11; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-11.

Our class will end early today… ( 10% confidence )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-03-08; known on 2011-03-08; judged right by alvinTng on 2011-03-08.

Statistics

Judged Predictions