Bitcoin >=$100 by July 1 —the-ace ( 16% confidence; 6 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-07-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-30.

RBA will raise interest rates by 0.25% in June ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-07; known on 2011-06-07; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-07.

There will be a terrorist attack in the USA in the next month. ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-07; known on 2011-06-07; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-06-07.

Bitcoin 'hits $22 before monday' —BrideTrollApprentice ( 25% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-06-03; known on 2011-06-06; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-06.

Federer will beat Nadal in the French Open final ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-06-06; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-05.

At least 3 parcels will arrive this afternoon. ( 20% confidence )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-06-02; known on 2011-06-03; judged wrong by alvinTng on 2011-06-05.

Bitcoin >=$100 by July 1 —the-ace ( 16% confidence; 6 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-07-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-30.

Jess will be back in the labs before midnight ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-04; known on 2011-06-04; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-05.

Djokovic will win French Open 2011 ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-31; known on 2011-06-05; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-04.

There will be a terrorist attack on the US within the next month. ( 7% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-03; known on 2011-06-03; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-03.

I will mark this prediction as false ( 50% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by KatjaGrace on 2011-06-02; known on 2011-06-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-06-03.

Robin Söderling will win French Open 2011 ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-31; known on 2011-06-05; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-01.

Söderling will beat Nadal in the French Open quarter final ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-31; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-06-01.

Vic Steamers will win Monday night's touch footy game. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-30; judged wrong by Jessica Hartany on 2011-06-01.

My laptop will get fixed by Wednesday. ( 63% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by Jessica Hartany on 2011-06-01.

Buffy the Vampire Slayer will make it to the Big Screen ( 57% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-01; known on 2011-06-01; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2011-06-01.

We will have submitted registration documents for the competition by 6pm on Monday ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-05-30; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-30.

We will have submitted registration documents for the competition by 6pm on Friday. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-25; known on 2011-05-27; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-05-29.

MU will get CL this year ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by nam2001 on 2011-04-21; known on 2011-05-21; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.

Hernández will score the first goal in the CL final ( 15% confidence )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-28; known on 2011-05-29; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-29.

Messi will not get any goal tonight! ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by minhduc on 2011-05-28; known on 2011-05-28; judged wrong by minhduc on 2011-05-29.

My credit card wil be one of the ones blocked by Westpac after the security breach! ( 20% confidence )

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-27; known on 2011-05-28; judged wrong by DavidPercival on 2011-05-28.

Google will lose their soul. We'll love them less in the coming years. ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Lina on 2009-05-28; known on 2011-05-27; judged wrong by Lina on 2011-05-27.

MoR update within a week ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by yurifury on 2011-05-19; known on 2011-05-26; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-05-26.

The unidentified object in Stockholms archipelago was a submarine ( 30% confidence; 5 comments )

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-08; known on 2011-07-08; judged wrong by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-05-26.

After Easter holiday, the temperature will be down more than 5 degrees. ( 29% confidence )

Created by Eunseo on 2011-04-20; known on 2011-04-27; judged wrong by Eunseo on 2011-05-26.

The note I bought online will arrive by friday. ( 40% confidence )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-05-15; known on 2011-05-20; judged wrong by alvinTng on 2011-05-25.

I will go to yoga class at least 8 times. ( 60% confidence )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-16; known on 2011-05-16; judged wrong by Ye on 2011-05-22.

I will go to camping in Blue mountains on Sunday. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ye on 2011-03-16; known on 2011-03-20; judged wrong by Ye on 2011-05-22.

Volcano will accur on Baekdu Mountain within 2mounths. ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-18; known on 2011-05-18; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-05-22.

“…in the Pacific Rim at around the 6 p.m. local time hour, in each time zone, there will be a great earthquake, such as has never been in the history of the Earth.” —Haubert/Brown ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-05-08; known on 2011-05-22; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2011-05-22.

There will be no Earthquake on May 21st ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by alvinTng on 2011-05-20; known on 2011-05-21; judged wrong by jayjay664@hotmail.com on 2011-05-21.