Unjudged Predictions
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I will not change employers in the year 2018 ( 80% confidence )
Created by imaxwell on 2018-01-02; known on 2018-12-31.
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My relationship with L. will be ongoing as of the end of 2018. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by imaxwell on 2018-06-30; known on 2018-12-31.
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(regular price) Petri-dish veal cheaper than (regular price) cow-produced veal at at least one large market chain(for example Amazon, WalMart, Superstore, etc) ( 18% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-11-02; known on 2018-12-31.
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Created by gringer on 2017-10-12; known on 2018-12-31.
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Created by gringer on 2017-10-12; known on 2018-12-31.
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Created by gringer on 2017-10-12; known on 2018-12-31.
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LUST ICO turns out to be a scam ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-03; known on 2018-12-31.
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consumer-level (if expensive) 2.5 micron resolution 3d printing in any material ( 66% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-07; known on 2018-12-31.
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US + Russia only have 1,150 nuclear warheads as per START treaty ( 47% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-07; known on 2018-12-31.
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I get my damage deposit back for my apartment (conditional on moving out / deadline extended as needed) ( 11% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-07-03; known on 2018-12-31.
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Some new form factor than cell phones/handheld robots start to credibly threaten the dominance of cell phones/handheld robots/laptops/tablets/desktop for near term future ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-18; known on 2018-12-31.
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Solar power to become cheaper than or equivalent to conventional coal prices over the next three years and reach Rs 4/kWh-Rs4.5/kWh by FY18, says India Ratings and Research. ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-24; known on 2018-12-31.
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Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-30; known on 2018-12-31.
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attawapiskat diamond mind starts to wind down production ( 53% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-03; known on 2018-12-31.
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3-4 “do everything” companies control 80%+ of hashrate of main cryptocurrency(Currently bitcoin) (ie companies that don't just provide hashes but large stack of services) ( 62% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-03; known on 2018-12-31.
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Moore's law stops : bitcoin hashrate has not doubled in past 18 months. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-03; known on 2018-12-31.
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Sign language becomes 3rd official language of Canada ( 32% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-05-25; known on 2018-12-31.
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3-4 miners do 80%+ of mining for bitcoin [and any other mined cryptocurrency with bigger marketcap in USD than bitcoin] ( 59% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-05-01; known on 2018-12-31.
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NASA will not announce “Voyager 1 has entered interstellar space” again within the next 5 years ( 73% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by mfb on 2013-09-13; known on 2018-12-31.
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I will still have a bivalvegan, or mostly bivalvegan (defined as buying meat/dairy products, if at all, perhaps once/twice a month) diet in three years time. ( 75% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-12-10; known on 2018-12-31.
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A leak or source from inside the NSA indicates that a surveillance program forbidden after today by the Supreme Court, another federal court, or act of congress has continued with little to no disruption ( 66% confidence; 7 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by tedks on 2013-12-29; known on 2018-12-29; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-07-14.
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Gynae malignancy 023354 ( 80% confidence )
Created by bridgid.connolly@gmail.com on 2018-12-14; known on 2018-12-28.
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i will pass sra 311 ( 97% confidence )
Created by jmcglade on 2018-12-01; known on 2018-12-14.
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given S continues taking s in the next three months, they will blackout at least once in the next three months. will return inconclusive if the supposition is false. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Somni on 2018-09-04; known on 2018-12-04.
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The 2018 Safra conference on AI is open to the public ( 90% confidence )
Created by ccokeefe on 2018-07-02; known on 2018-12-03.
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No major attack attributable to Anonymous leading to mass death or @BiellaColeman still agrees “Anonymous are not terrorists” ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-24; known on 2018-12-01.
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W3C VCTF goes to CR ( 41% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-30; known on 2018-12-01.
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RM Team switch by 18 Nov 2018. ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by amrav on 2017-11-19; known on 2018-11-18.
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He's (referring to Rurik) not gonna get one deliverable done. Chin said this on 10:41:04 PM IST ( 100% confidence )
Created by volis on 2018-09-14; known on 2018-11-16.
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Koback will use collection of state voter roles to coordinate voter suppression activities ( 51% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by atomicspaceman on 2017-08-12; known on 2018-11-10.
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BH will fail to add himself to his “publicly visible wall of shame for a five year period” over breaking a rental agreement. ( 95% confidence )
Created by seriouslykernelwtf on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-10-16.
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Total number of free app downloads in all ecosystems 2017 is not published ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known on 2018-10-01.
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Star-ALE will not participate in the Tokyo Olympics opening ceremony. ( 95% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-02-12; known on 2018-10-01.
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By 2016-10-01, the Prodigal Child Project will have made enough progress for more than 75 pastors to show significant support for incarceration reform (through, e.g., attending rallies, writing op-eds, giving sermons, or other actions) ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2018-10-01.
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DirecTV and Amdocs publicly sign another agreement extending cooperation between two companies, or one buys the other ( 45% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known on 2018-09-25.
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The EEF Reciprocal Reading trial will conclude the program improves reading comprehension with an effect size of 0.12 (50% CI: 0-0.24) ( 50% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by davidoj on 2018-08-07; known on 2018-09-16.
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TTC makes its goal of 8$M more from metropass users in 2017 than in 2016. ( 55% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known on 2018-09-01.
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I believe that everyone my company is asking to verify I-9 forms is about to be laid off. Along with those forms they will be asked to sign an “employment at will” form which will allow the company to lay them off with no severance. ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by drolma on 2018-06-08; known on 2018-09-01.
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>1.561% of global energy use for 2017 will be solar according to IEA ( 53% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-08-31; known on 2018-09-01.
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I am single ( 48% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-09-25; known on 2018-09-01.
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I will still be using the same physical new macbook pro that I just bought on August 20, 2018, contingent on still being in my school program ( 70% confidence )
Created by Porejide on 2014-08-20; known on 2018-08-20.
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Bharat's ranking in the World Bank's Ease of Doing Business report would be at least 50 in 2018. ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-07-09; known on 2018-07-27.
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The ETL Daily – Monthly Metrics will crash on the 07/04 ( 70% confidence )
Created by malafp on 2018-07-03; known on 2018-07-04.
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League of Legends will be still be the most popular game in the world by 2018 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by arghzoo on 2014-08-06; known on 2018-06-25.
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more earthquakes than normal in cascadia region ( 51% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-26; known on 2018-06-16.
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Aaron – 1on1 – Uses the phrase “Over-Engineering” ( 80% confidence )
Created by zach.riddle on 2018-06-14; known on 2018-06-15.
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Craig S. Wright not only fails to verify himself by demonstrating possession of satoshi's private key (eg 174731), but sometime after may 2, 2017 year tries to claim the same thing without proof again in a public way ( 27% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-02; known on 2018-06-01.
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HLSGives generates 20 career 1FTW pledges ( 70% confidence )
Created by Mjreard on 2018-02-15; known on 2018-05-25.
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Rural electrification: 18,452 villages are to be provided electricity in Bharat under the Deen Dayal Upadhyay Gramin Jyoti Yojana by May 1, 2018. ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 14 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-07; known on 2018-05-02.
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Ubuntu 18.04 released, not totally unusable ( 87% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-09-09; known on 2018-05-01.