Personal – I will have dated or be dating someone with the intent to make it a long-term relationship (considering marriage) by the end of 2019 ( 95% confidence )

Created by Selentelechia on 2019-01-16; known on 2020-01-01.

Personal – My mother will undergo transplant surgery before the end of 2019 ( 63% confidence )

Created by Selentelechia on 2019-01-16; known on 2020-01-01.

Personal – My mother will be called about the possibility of donor organs before the end of 2019 ( 71% confidence )

Created by Selentelechia on 2019-01-16; known on 2020-01-01.

Personal – I will deadlift 200lbs at least once in 2019 ( 96% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Selentelechia on 2019-01-16; known on 2020-01-01.

There will be a new DSM version released by 2020, replacing the current DSM-V. Can be a revision (i.e., DSM-V TR) ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jesselevine on 2015-04-09; known on 2020-01-01.

At least one government official (bureaucrat/politician/member of a royal family) assassinated by a flying robot before 2020. ( 57% confidence; 10 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-03-06; known on 2020-01-01.

Trudeau's new Canadian copyright act removes ability to transfer copyright ( 8% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-11; known on 2019-12-31.

Children, on average, learn to be systematic before they learn to be quantitative ( 49% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-11; known on 2019-12-31.

ARCA Space will cancel development of its Haas 2C vehicle before the end of 2019. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-11-02; known on 2019-12-31.

001-A(山东/Shandong) aircraft carrier was predicted by National Interest to take 9 years. It will take 4.5 -5 years. ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-06; known on 2019-12-25.

Air Jordan 1 UNC Off-White X Nike collaboration sneakers will increase in value to at least $1000 in the next 9 months ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by prophetofprofit on 2019-03-07; known on 2019-12-07.

By 2017-12-01, CEA provides compelling evidence that EAGx events result on average in a new GWWC pledge for less than $2,000 ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2019-12-01.

By 2017-12-01, CEA provides compelling evidence that standard marketing and outreach (e.g. online ads) result on average in a new GWWC pledge for less than $2,000 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2019-12-01.

By 2017-12-01, CEA provides compelling evidence that the Doing Good Better book giveaway results on average in a new GWWC pledge for less than $2,000 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2019-12-01.

SHA256: 452982B513A16897FEF1AB3AF4AA3C64A78F99065D7329362C5B9ED8BB95EC08 ( 90% confidence )

Created by Somni on 2019-07-18; known on 2019-10-18.

Hbox will win Pound, Smash N' Splash, Shine and The Big House in 2019 ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by wheat on 2019-03-01; known on 2019-10-14.

Hierophant will be unable to perform a task he wishes to perform within the next 4 years due to akrasia. ( 20% confidence )

Created by Hierophant on 2015-10-14; known on 2019-10-14.

(Rick&Morty): Orgu vf gur pybar ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Michael Dickens on 2017-10-04; known on 2019-10-04.

Sandia 10MW CO2 turbine tests success ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-14; known on 2019-10-01.

A new ministry will be created in the Russian government. ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2016-09-22; known on 2019-09-22.

My brother quits / is fired from his new job for what I determine to be BS reasons ( 90% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-01; known on 2019-09-01.

Para el mes 10 de 2019 habre terminado la certificacion de frontend developer de freecodecamp. ( 40% confidence )

Created by estebanf2019 on 2019-05-27; known on 2019-09-01.

Launch bookshare on ios with good design ( 70% confidence )

Created by Cliffw on 2019-07-14; known on 2019-08-14.

Luna (dating on blockchain) will have more than 40 000 registered users by the end of 2018 ( 70% confidence )

Created by leo_grint on 2018-01-31; known on 2019-07-02.

I will work for Unity Technologies within a year of graduation from University of Washington ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by npcuck on 2017-01-06; known on 2019-06-01.

The Lakers defense ranks 18th in the NBA. At the end of the season, they will rank between 10-20 according to http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/LAL/2013.html. ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by fistpo on 2012-11-12; known on 2019-04-13.

A ( 80% confidence )

Created by Temp123 on 2019-03-30; known on 2019-03-31.

The valonqar is Tyrion Lannister. ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-03-13; known on 2019-03-13.

The valonqar is Jaime Lannister. ( 50% confidence )

Created by Michael Dickens on 2014-03-13; known on 2019-03-13.

fb will still ban erotext in 3 months ( 80% confidence; 4 comments )

Created by Somni on 2018-12-09; known on 2019-03-09.

“[T]wo years from now, the Center will be spending at least $2 million a year, and will be considered by one or more of our relevant technical advisors to have a reasonably good reputation in the field.” Prediction will prove true. ( 42% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-16; known on 2019-02-07.

I will move to the silicon valley before I'm 30. ( 50% confidence )

Created by ZLM on 2014-02-11; known on 2019-01-30.

I will be able to afford to sign up for cryonics by the time I'm 30. ( 95% confidence )

Created by ZLM on 2014-02-11; known on 2019-01-30.

Even if net neutrality regulations are retained through Pai's chair, they will be enforced less than when enacted, and ISPs will continue most noncompliant practices unchallenged ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by erin on 2017-05-20; known on 2019-01-16.

From Jan 1, 2017 to Jan 1, 2019, If I encounter any 10$ USD bills, more than half of them will have been printed since 2013 ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known on 2019-01-02.

US military use of torture, extrajudicial imprisonment and killing, and mass surveillance all increased by US midterms. ( 39% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Temeraire on 2017-01-28; known on 2019-01-01.

Donald Trump successfully appoints >1 Supreme Court Justice who support increasing abortion restrictions, repealing same-sex marriage, and enforcing state-led voter suppression [sic] before US midterms ( 15% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Temeraire on 2017-01-28; known on 2019-01-01.

Uniform civil code bill passed in India before 2019 general elections. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by roshni on 2014-05-20; known on 2019-01-01.

I will not be diagnosed with cancer before the age of 45. ( 96% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by anonym on 2009-10-17; known on 2019-01-01.

US alert warhead loading reduced to 790 at any point on 2018 ( 47% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-30; known on 2019-01-01.

gene swap does happen at HOPE 12 ( 69% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-03; known on 2019-01-01.

The Alpha Pundit Challenge, or something like it, will have converted five or more vague predictions from pundits into numerical predictions, beyond those described in Tetlock, Alpha Pundit Challenge Proposal, by December 31, 2016 ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2019-01-01.

“second attack” in Santa Monica either incorrect/didn't happen, or outright media/government fabrication ( 42% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-06-13; known on 2019-01-01.

Food shortages (eg grocery/food stores with empty shelves) reported at some point before 2019 in South Africa ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-06-12; known on 2019-01-01.

“Consumer devices with 100 Gbit/s transfer speeds” in 2018 ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-18; known on 2019-01-01.

“Robot insect spies are in military use” in 2018 ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-18; known on 2019-01-01.

Stan Stalnaker: 2018 Bots doing around $1T in transactions ( 88% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-23; known on 2018-12-31.

Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar: 1 billion (Rs 6,600 crore) worth of defence equipment will be exported in three years. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-24; known on 2018-12-31.