Political Pirate movement becomes part of mainstream politics, causing major and concerete changes to governments and some industries, worldwide, before 2017

Created by Jonii on 2009-10-14; known on 2017-01-01; judged unknown by jasticE on 2009-10-17.

  • Jonii estimated 80% on 2009-10-14
  • Jack judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack estimated 15% on 2009-10-14
  • Arenamontanus estimated 75% on 2009-10-14
  • ChristianKl said “How will it be measured?on 2009-10-15
  • JFE estimated 65% on 2009-10-15
  • Jonii said ““major and concrete” as in “if this happens, you won’t start debating whether it was major and concerete” :>on 2009-10-15
  • Pavitra estimated 2% and said “Some of their issues might be picked up by the mainstream, but they don’t present a credible style. Their goals might be achieved, but not by them.on 2009-10-16
  • prase judged this prediction right on 2009-10-16.
  • prase judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-16.
  • Jonii judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-16.
  • Jonii said “The “worldwide”-part is probably going to cause problems. I was thinking mostly European countries when I made the predictionon 2009-10-16
  • PotatoDumplings estimated 5% on 2009-10-17
  • jasticE judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
  • jasticE judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • jasticE estimated 40% on 2009-10-17
  • Larks estimated 2% on 2009-10-17
  • Chance estimated 40% and said ““World-wide” meaning “in the western world” and"major and concrete" meaning c. infringement for p. use being a civil matteron 2009-10-20
  • wasistdas estimated 3% on 2009-11-10
  • gwern said “How many countries? How many governments? How many industries? Until this is specified…on 2010-09-26

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