Political Pirate movement becomes part of mainstream politics, causing major and concerete changes to governments and some industries, worldwide, before 2017

Created by Jonii on 2009-10-14; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-12.

  • Jonii estimated 80% on 2009-10-14
  • Jack  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-14.
  • Jack estimated 15% on 2009-10-14
  • Arenamontanus estimated 75% on 2009-10-14
  • ChristianKl said “How will it be measured?on 2009-10-15
  • JFE estimated 65% on 2009-10-15
  • Jonii said ““major and concrete” as in “if this happens, you won’t start debating whether it was major and concerete” :>on 2009-10-15
  • Pavitra estimated 2% and said “Some of their issues might be picked up by the mainstream, but they don’t present a credible style. Their goals might be achieved, but not by them.on 2009-10-16
  • prase  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-16.
  • prase  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-16.
  • Jonii  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-16.
  • Jonii said “The “worldwide”-part is probably going to cause problems. I was thinking mostly European countries when I made the predictionon 2009-10-16
  • PotatoDumplings estimated 5% on 2009-10-17
  • jasticE  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
  • jasticE  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • jasticE estimated 40% on 2009-10-17
  • Larks estimated 2% on 2009-10-17
  • Chance estimated 40% and said ““World-wide” meaning “in the western world” and"major and concrete" meaning c. infringement for p. use being a civil matteron 2009-10-20
  • wasistdas estimated 3% on 2009-11-10
  • gwern said “How many countries? How many governments? How many industries? Until this is specified…on 2010-09-26
  • jasticE estimated 7% on 2015-04-18
  • themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-07-10
  • Afforess estimated 0% and said “Nope. Cute prediction, but it turns out copyright matters little when there are major strains in infrastructure, defense, security, immigration, and trade in 1st world nations.on 2016-10-06
  • themusicgod1 said “couldn’t even get in power in icelandon 2017-01-12
  • themusicgod1  judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-12.

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