In 2070 there will be a human alive with age 150 or older.

Created by ChristianKl on 2009-10-17; known on 2070-12-31

  • ChristianKl estimated 45% on 2009-10-17
  • Larks estimated 60% on 2009-10-17
  • anonym estimated 5% on 2009-10-17
  • Jack estimated 1% and said “How can this have a higher probability then the other age prediction. Anyone 150 in 2070 was 140 in 2060. on 2009-10-18
  • Arenamontanus estimated 70% on 2009-10-19
  • jshiga estimated 7% on 2009-10-19
  • gwern estimated 70% and said “I should note that I count psychological survivors (eg. uploads) as meeting this and the other prediction, as well as a cryonics revival.on 2010-07-29
  • Nic_Smith estimated 65% on 2010-11-26
  • kallman estimated 1% and said “That person would have to be 90 today. Even if the tech magically appeared tomorrow…on 2010-11-26
  • Nic_Smith estimated 10% and said “Updating on Kallman’s commenton 2011-05-08
  • bobpage estimated 8% on 2011-08-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2011-08-10
  • amcknight estimated 2% and said “Kallman makes a great pointon 2011-11-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 10% and said “Closer to consistent with my other predictions on aging. on 2011-11-16
  • Anubhav estimated 1% on 2011-11-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 3% and said “Updating to increased pessismism about life extension technology. on 2011-11-17
  • Tuxedage estimated 60% on 2012-06-10
  • RandomThinker estimated 1% on 2012-06-10
  • chimpsky estimated 0% on 2012-06-10
  • saturn estimated 20% on 2012-09-21
  • Malgidus estimated 75% and said “With cryonics, 60% otherwise. They are 93 now. One alive may live to 2042, probably can increase lifespan by then.on 2013-03-27
  • gwern estimated 30% and said “looking at the GRG mortality records, super-centenarians have been doing very badly; even if the tech exists for uploads or whatever, there may well be no one left of the right age to use it for this predictionon 2014-10-06

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