The first “worldwide classroom” will be setup on the Internet and will revolutionize learning potentials by double the rate of college bound graduates by 2026. ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2026-06-30.

Treasury to instruct the Fed to revalue U.S. gold deposits at $8,000/oz or more before 3Q26 ( 35% confidence )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-10-23; known on 2026-07-01.

By this time in 2026, there will be a consensus among neuroscientists (>50%) that quantum mechanics plays a non-trivial role in understanding consciousness. ( 3% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by RoryS on 2016-07-18; known on 2026-07-18.

Pastor Kenneth Glasgow’s pastor network will play an influential role in the upcoming legislative sessions (for some definition of “influential” that Open Philanthropy Project is comfortable with in retrospect) ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-08-01.

https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2006-08-13 is hilarious ( 33% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by wizzwizz4 on 2020-08-10; known on 2026-08-13.

Java va a desaparecer o perder el mercado, segun Diego de makerlab. ( 70% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2026-09-23.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Brighter Green a major success ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2026-10-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Brighter Green a success ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2026-10-01.

Brexit will cause hundreds of thousands of deaths from mass starvation in the UK —Charlie Stross ( 2% confidence; 19 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2016-10-07; known on 2026-10-07.

Socrates1024's Dockerfile scripts still work 10 years from now ( 31% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-18; known on 2026-10-18.

Timbuktu burned to the ground/leveled by group loyal to dalwa al islamyya ( 44% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-24; known on 2026-10-25.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to World Animal Protection a success ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-11-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to World Animal Protection a major success ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-11-01.

China will enter a recession within the next 5 years ( 8% confidence )

Created by Tuxedage on 2021-11-02; known on 2026-11-16.

More families in north america are single income, two partners, raising children than dual income with/without children/other arrangements ( 50% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-01; known on 2026-11-28.

A Mars colony will be established in 2026. It will be an International establishment. ( 4% confidence; 20 wagers; 13 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2026-11-30.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Green Monday a success ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-12-01.

We will have a second child within 10 years ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by penten on 2016-12-09; known on 2026-12-09.

Climate research (global warming) will have a replication crisis ( 7% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by hedges on 2016-12-09; known on 2026-12-10.

Since 2001, the total number of low-income countries has nearly halved to 34, as 31 graduated to middle-income status. By 2026, another 31 will graduate, leaving only 3 countries in low income status. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2026-12-25.

International Air Transport Association's (IATA) updated passenger growth forecast, predicts Bharat will displace Britain as the third-largest market by 2026. ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2026-12-25.

By 2026 we will be technically capable of fixing arbitrary single-gene disorders – sickle cell anaemia, Huntington's, cystic fibrosis, Tay-Sachs, muscular dystrophy… – in living humans, with close to zero risk of severe complications. ( 34% confidence; 18 wagers; 11 comments )

Created by jasticE on 2016-01-08; known on 2026-12-31.

Due to Bharat's industrialization prices will boom in an exact replay of what happened in 2001-11 commodity bull market driven by Zhongguo. Commodities prices, as measured by the Continuous Commodity Index (CCI), will rise at least 275% since the start ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2026-12-31.

Serial killer found to be operating in Thunder Bay in 2017, causing at least 1 death in Thunder Bay in 2017 ( 49% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-05-26; known on 2026-12-31.

US will have universal health care system by 2026 ( 42% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by amadeu on 2018-11-12; known on 2026-12-31.

Wireless electricity is ubiquitous in 2026 ( 24% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-11-11; known on 2027-01-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Animal Welfare Standards Project a major success ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2027-01-01.

The United States of Africa is established by 2026 ( 3% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-11-11; known on 2027-01-01.

Construction of the Sagrada Família is complete in 2026 ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-11-11; known on 2027-01-01.

Contact with the Voyager probes is lost by 2026 ( 62% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-11-11; known on 2027-01-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Animal Welfare Standards Project a success ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2027-01-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to support the work of Professor Deborah Cao a success ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2027-01-01.

I will start a PhD by 2027 ( 60% confidence )

Created by FergusFettes on 2022-08-16; known on 2027-01-01.

SpaceX Starship to land on moon by end of 2026. ( 47% confidence; 11 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-04-30; known on 2027-01-01.

Heroku will be sunset or at least rebranded (“Salesforce Cloud”) and closed off new registrations (e.g. “contact us”) by 2027. ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2022-08-25; known on 2027-01-01.

rapamycin to be demonstrated to increase average lifespan in dogs by 2026 ( 70% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2027-01-01.

2026: Last DRM-spewing company closes down. People once again share media w/o technological barricades ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-10; known on 2027-01-01.

PRC blockade of Taiwan by sea and air ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-10-26; known on 2027-01-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to support the work of Professor Deborah Cao a major success ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2027-01-01.

I will use PredictionBook at least once a year until 2027 ( 33% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-19; known on 2027-01-01.

Bitcoin was designed by a group of mathematicians as a side project while working for the NSA. ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-31; known on 2027-01-01.

'The cost per watt of solar PV has dropped to below $1' by 2027 ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-05-26; known on 2027-01-01.

I will visit LessWrong once a year until 2027 ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-20; known on 2027-01-01.

Fewer than 30% of the US Population self-identify as Christians. http://www.pewforum.org/2015/05/12/americas-changing-religious-landscape/ ( 19% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-04-26; known on 2027-01-01.

2017 Cloud Cover for continental US more than it was in 2007 ( 58% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-26; known on 2027-01-01.

Capitalism will collapse. Federal gov won't exist. Peak oil ( 12% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Musrang on 2023-03-21; known on 2027-01-01.

SpaceX to land a version of Starship on Mars by the end of 2026. ( 27% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-03-24; known on 2027-01-01.