Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11620 | 16196 | 16634 | 17333 | 31059 | 7976 | 100818 |
Recent Predictions
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typing 100 years from now as a result date will no longer crash the server ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-20; judged right on 2008-08-18.
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ambiguous (and proably contradictorily worded) predictions will have some means of 'in app' resolution ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-08-16; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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interpreting 2010 as a 8:10pm (as a bug) will not be fixed for ages ( 100% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-08-06; judged right on 2008-08-18.
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when I write jan 1st 2010 it stores as 1st January 2010 ( 50% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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I will be called in for an angiogram between 8pm and 8 am in the next 3 nights ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-18; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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I will be called to go into hospital between midnight today and 6am tomorrow. ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-17; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Google will buy Twitter by 2010 ( 30% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2010-01-01; judged wrong by thephilosiraptor on 2010-01-01.
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I will be able to use Facebook for some mild professional benefit within the next 6 months ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-16; judged right by Andy on 2009-10-19.
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Between 20 and 40% of friend requests will be from people that I don't really want as friends (but I awkwardly accept anyway) ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-23; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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After releuctantly joining Facebook, I will end up with over 25 friend requests within the first week. Unsolicited. ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-23; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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1AUD will be worth greater than 1USD before the year is out ( 61% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-01-08.
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My account details from HSBC will arrive before the end of the week ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-15; known on 2008-07-19; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Generation Kill won't have quite the same depth of story as The Wire ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-15; known on 2008-08-30; judged right by Adam on 2008-08-27.
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I'll be able to convince Westpac to handle Ruth's account changes without going to the branch ( 48% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-07-15; known on 2008-07-21; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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first test paypal payment through austhink refactor will fail with an mildly new error message ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-15; known on 2008-07-15; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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that mass I saw today will turn out to be a cystic meningioma on histology ( 75% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-14; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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I will be called to go into hospital between midnight today and 6am tomorrow. ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-14; known on 2008-07-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Gerrit will return with new (and proably metrosexual) facial hair ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-14; known on 2008-07-23; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Matt won't use his own website for the next 3 days ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-13; known on 2008-07-16; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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The iphone wont sell out today ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Lina on 2008-07-10; known on 2008-07-11; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Telstra iphone contracts will be significantly more expensive than Optus ( 67% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-10; known on 2008-07-11; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Trike staff will eat all the chocolates and raise money for charity ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Chantelle on 2008-07-10; known on 2008-07-24; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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we will need pagination on the front page ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-09; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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austhink credit credit and paypal payment will be published live ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-09; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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modelling and design of bed base will take 15hrs ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Kenji on 2008-07-08; known on 2008-07-18; judged wrong on 2008-08-18.
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Two of my three ebay listings will have a bid by Thursday 10pm ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Miyo on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-10; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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My 6'0" will feel way better with DHD-2's rather than K2.1's ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-18; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Windfinder will be more accurate than Coastalwatch or Swellnet for tomorrow mornings winds ( 75% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-08; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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austhink payment will be done by end of 4 day week ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-11; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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austhink payment will be done by wednesday ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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multi line predictions will render multiline = = / _____ \ / _____ \ .-'_____'-.—————————————-.-'_____'-. / | | ( 80% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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<BLINK>Blink tag will work</BLINK> ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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<FONT color=“#ffffff” size=“+1”><MARQUEE bgcolor=“#000080” direction=“right” loop=“20” width=“75%”><STRONG>Marquee's will work</STRONG></MARQUEE></FONT> ( 80% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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the prediction with the dancing banana will annoy Matt ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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images will render inline ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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starting a line with blockquote will break rendering ( 60% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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blockquote bq. tags will break rendering ( 70% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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blockquote bq. tags will break rendering ( 70% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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code tags will break rendering ( 80% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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solid description formatting will be implemented by this weekend ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-13; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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this weekend will not work as a result date ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-13; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Textile links render correctly ( 10% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-07; known on 2008-07-07; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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both pineal lesions from last week will turn out to be germinomas on histology ( 65% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-06; known on 2008-06-29; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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of the 7 herbs etc planted, at least 6 will survive and thrive ( 80% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-06; known on 2008-08-06; judged right on 2008-08-07.
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Our deploy of shared predictions will happen without fault ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-04; known on 2008-07-04; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Per distance travelled, aeroplanes result in less fatalities than helicopters ( 80% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-04; known on 2008-07-04; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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The world will not end when the LHC is activated ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-04; known on 2008-07-08; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Despite much reading I will be unable to speed up my PS3's web browsing ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-02; known on 2008-07-16; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Excess bagage delivered by end of week (friday) ( 75% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-02; known on 2008-07-04; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Quiksilver shares will finish the year above $11 ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-01; known on 2008-01-01; judged wrong by Andy on 2009-07-04.
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There will be 3 significant stock market dips in 2008 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-01; known on 2009-01-01; judged right by Lina on 2009-05-14.
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Obama will be the next US president. ( 74% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-29; known on 2008-11-08; judged right by Glenn on 2008-11-05.
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pbook will deal with input like ßéàüçñåπæœ ( 85% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-06-27; known on 2008-06-27; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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pbook will remember my name after this prediction ( 98% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-06-26; known on 2008-06-26; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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Movies have a smaller relative market share now than 10 yrs ago ( 75% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-06-24; known on 2008-06-24; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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No one else will make a prediction today. ( 51% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-23; known on 2008-06-24; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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It will take 2 weeks for Trike to fix the glich that has my predictions going in multiple times. ( 75% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-21; known on 2008-05-07; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Andy will come home from King Island later than Tuesday ( 70% confidence )
Created by Miyo on 2008-06-21; known on 2008-06-24; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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There will be more than 10,000 predictions on pbook by end 08. ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-20; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-01-08.
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We will be living at 630 Canning by Aug 1st. ( 80% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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pbook will not be released to the web by xmas 08 ( 54% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Trainor on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-12-30; judged right by Matt on 2009-01-14.
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It will take you until at least next Friday to get an input mask into the percentage field. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-26; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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We will have validation of result dates ( 70% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-20; judged right on 2008-08-01.
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The epiode “11” of scrubs Series 7 we have just watched is not actually episode 11 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Natalie on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-19; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Sype video will not work next time ( 80% confidence )
Created by Natalie on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-30; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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ASX will finish above 5440 ( 60% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-23; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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PredictionBook will have an Alpha server running by June 20, 2008 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-20; judged right on 2008-08-14.