“By end of year Ripple will be LOL-ing above 1 trillion market cap.” https://twitter.com/JohnyQi/status/956083850928640000 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-24; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Grace Mugabe ( 20% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Ignatius Chombo ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Patrick Zhuwayo (Robert Mugabe's nephew) ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Someone who is not a war veteran and not a member of ZANU-PF (excluding Tsvangirai) ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Constantino Chiwenga ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Some other veteran of the War of Independence ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Saviour Kasukuwere ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

Legal battles over forehead penises, and the rights of the young rebels who choose to have them, begin. ( 11% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-03; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-31.

US Supreme Court legalizes explicit Vote Buying [Dataclysm] ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-08; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-31.

BTCUSD will exceed 20000 during 2018 ( 28% confidence; 15 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by sjy on 2018-01-17; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2018-12-31.

There will be a relevant (>10% vote in any election) third political party in the US before the end of 2018. ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by artir on 2016-03-12; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by artir on 2018-12-31.

Half of world GDP is China. ( 8% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-17; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-30.

Econ – The closing spot price for an ounce of gold against the US dollar on 28 December 2018 is between $1200 and $1250. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-11-20; known on 2018-12-29; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-30.

Kocherga, rational time club in Moscow, Russia will close and not reopen in 2018 ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by crabman on 2018-04-11; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by crabman on 2018-12-29.

I will get 56 hours of sleep next week (starting the night of 2018-12-21). ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-12-19; known on 2018-12-28; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-12-28.

PP will defeat Hbox in 2018. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by fairfax on 2018-03-15; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by ambisinister on 2018-12-28.

Ari Paul's $50k strike Bitcoin calls will expire in the money ( 5% confidence )

Created by ambisinister on 2017-12-24; known on 2018-12-28; judged wrong by ambisinister on 2018-12-28.

Politics, Middle East – Saudi Arabia does not conduct any airstrikes in Yemen between the start and end of December 2018 ( 17% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-04-26; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Jennifer on 2018-12-28.

Bill Gates “Digital transactions will rise to 50% of India's GDP in the next 2-3 years”. ( 75% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-06; known on 2018-12-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-27.

Consumer-level “Trans cranial magnetic stimulation orgasmatron” (TMS device capable of producing orgasm ) hits the market ( 14% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-15; known on 2018-12-24; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-27.

US real GDP growth rate for 2018 will be under 2.0% ( 93% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-20; known on 2018-12-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-27.

Bharat Biotech will develop the first Zika vaccine by 2018. ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-13; known on 2018-12-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-12-27.

I read 24+ books this year ( 60% confidence )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

I manage to climb a 5.11 wall at a rock climbing gym ( 70% confidence )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

Serious impeachment proceedings begin against Trump ( 22% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

I go on an overnight hike ( 60% confidence )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

North Korea explodes a nuclear missile outside of internationally recognized North Korean territory ( 15% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

I have a consistent 3-month stint of exercise ( 70% confidence )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

I hike antelope canyon ( 80% confidence )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

I visit Mexico at least once ( 80% confidence )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.

I switch away from iPhone ( 80% confidence )

Created by JTPeterson on 2018-04-24; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by JTPeterson on 2018-12-26.