PredictionBook: Recent Predictions

Statistics

Confidence	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%	100%	Total
Accuracy	49%	58%	67%	76%	88%	93%
Sample Size	8095	11124	11268	11271	22549	5920	70227

Recent Predictions

[US Politics] Democratic candidates participating in the July debate to outnumber those participating in the June debate ( 17% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-12; known in 14 days.
[Fighting] Jim Miller to beat Jason Gonzalez at UFC on ESPN 3 ( 70% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-12; known on 2019-04-28; judged right by Cato on 2019-04-29.
[Fighting] John Lineker to beat Cory Sandhagen at UFC on ESPN 3 ( 70% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-12; known on 2019-04-28; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-29.
[Fighting] Ronaldo Souza to beat Jack Hermansson at UFC on ESPN 3 ( 70% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-12; known on 2019-04-28; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-04-29.
[Fighting] Tito Ortiz to fight in 2019 ( 20% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-12; known on 2020-01-01.
At least one more indictment is made as part of a case referred by Mueller, before 2020 ( 72% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-04-12; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Dominick Cruz is UFC bantamweight champion ( 9% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Cody Garbrandt is UFC bantamweight champion ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Rose Namajunas is UFC strawweight champion ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Valentina Shevchenko is UFC flyweight champion ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Amanda Nunes is UFC bantamweight champion ( 69% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Amanda Nunes is UFC featherweight champion ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Henry Cejudo is UFC flyweight champion ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Marlon Moraes is UFC bantamweight champion ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Max Holloway is UFC featherweight champion ( 65% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Khabib Nurmagomedov is UFC lightweight champion ( 57% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Kamaru Usman is UFC welterweight champion ( 60% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Robert Whittaker is UFC middleweight champion ( 60% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Jon Jones is UFC light heavyweight champion ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Daniel Cormier is UFC heavyweight champion ( 58% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01.
Earthquake April 11th… A dream from 20 years ago was recently reconfirmed to my Uncle that there will be a catastrophic earthquake in Portland Oregon area. Personally I don't buy it. He is so certain he left town. ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by liveitpros on 2019-04-11; known on 2019-04-12; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-04-12.
[Game of Thrones] Viserion the ice dragon to revert to Daenerys Targaryen's control at least once by the end of the TV series ( 28% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Game of Thrones] Daenerys Targaryen's two remaining dragons Drogon and Rhaegal to both be alive and under DT's control at the end of the TV series ( 20% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Melisandre ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Petyr Baelish/Littlefinger ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Yara Greyjoy ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Qyburn ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Gregor “The Mountain” Clegane ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Jorah Mormont ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Gendry ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Bronn ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Sandor “The Hound” Clegane ( 22% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Missandei ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Theon Greyjoy ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Davos Seaworth ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Jaime Lannister ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Tyrion Lannister ( 13% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Varys ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Arya Stark ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Sansa Stark ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Tormund Giantsbane ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Gilly ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Bran Stark ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Samwell Tarly ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Brienne of Tarth ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Jon Snow ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Cersei Lannister ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Daenerys Targaryen ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Among “Game of Thrones” characters still alive as of the end of the show—including zombies—is] Night King ( 31% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2019-05-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-21.
[Fighting] Brandon Vera to be ONE heavyweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 40% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01.