Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
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I will get an A in at least one of the two classes I'm taking during winter session. ( 90% confidence )
Created by benwr on 2015-01-13; known on 2015-01-21; judged right by benwr on 2015-01-21.
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Spurs will beat/draw against Nuggets ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-21; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-21.
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Heat will beat/draw against Thunder ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-21; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-21.
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“By 2015 more internet requests will originate from mobile phones and other types of embedded devices than from desktop and laptop personal computers.” ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2015-01-21.
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'Most phone calls are made via the Internet' in 2014 ( 11% confidence; 9 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-09-28; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2015-01-21.
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IEA: US to overtake Russia as the leading producer of natural gas in 2015. ( 67% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-12; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by RandomThinker on 2015-01-21.
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HW by 23:55 ( 17% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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There will be free avocados today. ( 70% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-21; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20.
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Someone got the sink fixed. ( 50% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-21; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20.
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The sushi I like will be stocked today. ( 75% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-21; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20.
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SR made PR about B ( 35% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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SR made PR about B ( 35% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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B will contact me without prompting. ( 20% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20.
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I will see Ben S on Monday. ( 60% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-20; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-20.
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At least one of my calculus students will complain to me about their final grade by January 5th ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-15; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-20.
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JH is at his usual table ( 60% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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Rochdale is further north than Chesterfield ( 55% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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George Osborne is younger than David Cameron ( 80% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-01-20; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-20.
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HW by 11:55 today ( 12% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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Pelicans will beat/draw against Raptors ( 53% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-19.
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Spurs will beat/draw against Jazz ( 65% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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R as leaving BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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We see Ricky went we enter BK ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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We see Ricky went we enter BK ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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CBAB has a recollection of eating something in BK ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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CBAB has a recollection of eating something in BK ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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CBAB has a recollection of eating something in BK ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-20; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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We see Ricky went we enter BK ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-19.
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JH is around the corner ( 80% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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BK receipts M,W or F ( 55% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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HW until I go to Po's ( 5% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-01-24; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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She will catch the bus ( 85% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19; known on 2015-01-19; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-01-19.
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I get a response from E. ( 65% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18.
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I get a response from E, and the response is favorable. ( 40% confidence )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-03-01; judged right by EloiseRosen on 2015-01-18.
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Pelicans will beat/draw against 76ers ( 52% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18.
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Pistons will beat/draw against Pacers ( 53% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-17; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-18.
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My initial interpretation of that FB story I saw is correct. ( 64% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-18; known on 2015-01-18; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-18.
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David Cameron was born in 1967 or later ( 25% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17.
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We see Ricky as we leave BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17.
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We see Ricky as we leave BK ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-01-16; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17.
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This can of Diet Coke has >=1kcal of given as its energy ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-17.
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I go into Po's this Friday ( 89% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-12; known on 2015-01-18; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-01-17.
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Wizards will beat/draw against Nets ( 52% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-15; known on 2015-01-17; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will learn to pick locks by January ( 40% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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We won't get a dog by January ( 90% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I'll finish the first chapter of TAOCP by January ( 80% confidence )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-01; known on 2015-01-16; judged wrong by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.
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I will still have 15 or more followers on Twitter by January ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-11-08; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by sweeneyrod on 2015-01-17.