Business income grows by at least 10% ( 70% confidence )

Created by Coagulopath on 2019-02-13; known on 2020-12-21.

Conditional on border checkpoints being set up along the UK-Ireland border, there will be an attack on the checkpoints or border guards ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known on 2020-12-16.

At launch, the cheapest PS5 available from an authorized retailer in the United States will cost more than $500 (excl. tax, shipping) ( 90% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2020-07-30; known on 2020-12-10.

New medical breakthrough will revolutionize battlefield care by late 2020. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2020-11-30.

The 7-day rolling average of postive test % will be above 12% for Oregon. ( 100% confidence )

Created by Justinthere on 2020-11-20; known on 2020-11-23.

The daily high temp in Portland will be below 53F. ( 75% confidence )

Created by Justinthere on 2020-11-20; known on 2020-11-23.

Survey of 40 random saskatchewanians (or whoever lives in that area in 2020) will reveal Brad Wall's tweet in 2016 as 'ridiculous' ( 49% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-05; known on 2020-11-22.

My November 2020 self will think Brexit is on net bad (ALL things considered) ( 68% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-11-20; known on 2020-11-20.

If I ever understand monetary policy properly, I’ll think that Scott Sumner is basically right about NGDP targeting etc ( 80% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-11-17; known on 2020-11-17.

For each state in the 538 forecast, taking an average of the three most recent A+ polls from unique pollsters will be more accurate at estimating the true margin than 538's forecast ( 55% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-11-03; known on 2020-11-17.

Turtle Island Foods (owners of the brand “Tofurky”) lawsuit against the new Missouri meat terminology law will fail, at least before appeals ( 60% confidence )

Created by prophetofprofit on 2018-08-30; known on 2020-11-16.

I will vote Democrat for the first time in my life in the 2020 US Presidential Election ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Dapple on 2017-01-05; known on 2020-11-08.

1190432 MCN maligne entartet ( 75% confidence )

Created by prosti on 2020-10-20; known on 2020-10-23.

Telegram app will block in some countries. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by smodnix on 2020-06-24; known on 2020-10-20.

COVID, Europe/USA – Whithin 4 weeks, there will be more new infections per day in Europe than in the US. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by NickN on 2020-09-12; known on 2020-10-12.

US will have one of the hottest 3 summers in Summer 2020 ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-06-05; known on 2020-10-01.

Android studio morirá en dos años. Flutter se corona como el sucesor, Segun Juan. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2020-09-23.

Fredy predice que Python desaparecerá Python se reduce a 70% popularidad (Moisés dice que lo revivirá) ( 60% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2020-09-23.

9252916 Liposarkom ( 60% confidence )

Created by prosti on 2020-09-15; known on 2020-09-22.

just setting up my twttr ( 0% confidence )

Created by liamisntsure on 2020-09-09; known on 2020-09-09.

Climate Change – August 2020 will be the 428th-consecutive month with temperatures above the 20th-century average, according to NOAA ( 85% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NickN on 2020-08-17; known on 2020-09-01.

On 2018-09-01, the Center for Human-Compatible AI will be spending at least $2 million a year, and will be considered by one or more of Open Philanthropy Project's relevant technical advisors to have a reasonably good reputation in the field ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2020-09-01.

If we implement operator by Wednesday Aug 19, then on next Tuesday meeting, our First Time to respond will avg <1 hour. Luke's prediction. ( 99% confidence )

Created by maneesh on 2020-08-18; known on 2020-08-26.

If Caleb and I move our morning to call to 10:30am ET, I believe that, we will both be happier about the call time and results. If so, we may consider even earlier ( 60% confidence )

Created by maneesh on 2020-08-12; known on 2020-08-19.

Try wall paint on sample tomorrow ( 90% confidence )

Created by pbadger on 2020-08-12; known on 2020-08-13.

Install window tomorrow ( 80% confidence )

Created by pbadger on 2020-08-12; known on 2020-08-13.

still living in chicago on Aug 1 ( 70% confidence )

Created by joshuabecker on 2020-06-10; known on 2020-08-01.

Harvard to reopen for fall 2020 ( 41% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-06-05; known on 2020-08-01.

I'll have my portfolio site completely updated by COB Friday, July 31. ( 70% confidence )

Created by dbrentp on 2020-07-27; known on 2020-07-31.

1330926 język rosnie? ( 75% confidence )

Created by mackiewelina on 2020-05-09; known on 2020-07-31.

Rainfall in 2020 will be at least 49% of historic levels in California. (Using the standard June to July year) ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-03-23; known on 2020-07-25.

1186620 RCC papillär ( 90% confidence )

Created by prosti on 2020-07-09; known on 2020-07-23.

None of the main 4 characters in Outer Banks will die in season 1 ( 90% confidence )

Created by msonaeiou on 2020-05-25; known on 2020-06-25.

The masked singer season 3 kitty is Maisie Williams ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ianharrison on 2020-03-08; known on 2020-06-15.

Chris Shinski will like J-pop in 2020. ( 65% confidence )

Created by spqr0a1 on 2012-03-31; known on 2020-06-01.

6183331e9007a573863190a476a3abb8 quits SaskTel ( 43% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-06; known on 2020-06-01.

This sore throat I’ve had for 5 days won’t turn into anything worse ( 95% confidence )

Created by msonaeiou on 2020-05-25; known on 2020-06-01.

Lockheed Martin claims up to 3500 F-35 will be ordered. A look at the price and the previous track record of the F-22 instead leads to a certainty that all orders combined will be lucky to hit 940. That is 1/4 of LM claims. ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-21; known on 2020-05-23.

Morocco will require people to wears mask 2 weeks following the end of quarantine ( 60% confidence )

Created by kvfi on 2020-05-05; known on 2020-05-20.

I will graduate medical school ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by nelson.horsley@gmail.com on 2016-09-18; known on 2020-05-16.

Michael F. Roman will be fired as ceo of 3M ( 30% confidence )

Created by Rsfinley23 on 2020-04-04; known on 2020-05-15.

The Masked Singer season 3 Turtle is Nick Jonas ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ianharrison on 2020-03-08; known on 2020-05-15.

The Masked Singer season 3 Kangaroo is Iggy Izalia ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ianharrison on 2020-03-08; known on 2020-05-15.

Indian stock market crashes before 2020 ( 60% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by jp870 on 2018-05-10; known on 2020-05-12.

At least one Sask Party MLA elected in 2016 put in jail ( 58% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-06; known on 2020-04-20.

Army corps of engineers will build additional hospitals/testing around NYC/NJ ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by daveisright on 2020-03-17; known on 2020-04-03.

EU to succeed in its target of cutting greenhouse gas levels to 20% of 1990 levels by 2020. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by simplicio on 2013-01-18; known on 2020-02-01.

2019 EU passes regulations requiring labeling of DRM-encumbered products. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-10; known on 2020-01-21.

Data published by Cisco in 2018 or 2019 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2018 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 151 EB. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-04; known on 2020-01-02.

<i>To the Stars</i>: Homura will achieve peace when Madoka manages to manifest in reality. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by linkhyrule5 on 2013-07-27; known on 2020-01-01.