Some technology invented after 2017 that actually scares me. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-08-29; known on 2022-12-31.

Conditional on me asking Kyle Ivey for the source code to QC Bus Chaser app source code under a license respecting the 4 freedoms, Kyle provides the source code under this license. ( 11% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-10; known on 2022-12-31.

Between 2020 and end of 2022, no non-Apple laptop will be released which performs better on general performance benchmarks than the lowest-priced laptop currently offered by Apple. ( 46% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by topherhunt on 2020-12-12; known on 2022-12-31.

Cameron will be 81.6kg 1 month from when he purchased his walking pad ( 50% confidence )

Created by johnranin@gmail.com on 2022-11-30; known on 2022-12-30.

I will meet definition of 'literally homeless' at some point before December 30th 2022 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2022-12-30.

Worldwide biometric ID system will go online by 2022, unknown to the standard publics awareness. ( 13% confidence; 10 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2022-12-30.

Bharat will pass Nihon on the IMF's ranking of world's biggest economies. Bharat will be the 3rd biggest economy at GDP current prices in the world in 2022. However, Bharat will be one rank higher as the 2nd biggest economy in PPP terms. ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-13; known on 2022-12-27.

Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) of Bharat has released a year-by-year breakdown of solar capacity targets by states to reach its overall 100 GW solar capacity target by 2022. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-13; known on 2022-12-25.

Malnutrition trends in Bharat:By 2022 Wasting will be at 8.2% among under 3 children. ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Spain will default on its debt by 2022. ( 39% confidence; 10 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Eurozone sovereign debt crisis by 2022. ( 91% confidence; 3 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Zhongguo will be No 1 nation in nuclear power by 2022. ( 60% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2022-12-25.

The 2015 budget has 60 GW of wind power by 2022. Bharat will then place 2nd in the world from 5th. Source: Global Wind Energy Council http://www.gwec.net/ ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2022-12-25.

Banning of incandescent light bulbs globally by 2022.Incandescent lightbulbs will not be bought, manufactured or sold legally. ( 10% confidence; 17 wagers; 17 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2022-12-25.

By 2022, child malnutrition(underweight) in Bharat will fall to 18.4%. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank will pass the World Bank in terms of loans(billions of dollars per year) made. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-25.

Kamala Harris will attend the Queen's funeral ( 65% confidence )

Created by johnmichaelbridge on 2022-09-15; known on 2022-12-19.

Malnutrition trends in Bharat: Stunting -Under 3 children in 2022 will be under 32.5%. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-17.

Jair Bolsonaro not impeached until the end of his mandate ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2022-12-16.

palmeiras não será tricampeão da libertadores ( 100% confidence )

Created by eduardomarciano on 2022-01-29; known on 2022-12-16.

The New Development Bank will make more loans in billions of dollars per year, than the IMF by 2022. ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-16.

Lula will be elected Brazil's next president in 2022. ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by okayspm on 2021-10-04; known on 2022-12-11.

Eduardo Leite (PSDB) se candidata à presidência nas eleições de 2022. ( 65% confidence )

Created by rapinoinfeliz on 2020-07-22; known on 2022-12-01.

Conjecture is at least somewhat often referred to as “The ‘Ject’”, as judged by either Ian or Tamera saying it is (only one has to agree) on November 15th 2022. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by peterbarnett on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-11-15.

The user 8 will not write a single line of APL code that is relevant to his project. ( 99% confidence )

Created by bingbingwahoo on 2021-11-12; known on 2022-11-10.

Republicans will win back both chambers of congress in 2022 ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2022-11-08.

t ( 30% confidence )

Created by tara on 2022-10-31; known on 2022-10-31.

No human genome will be completely sequenced in the next 5 years. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by aoeu on 2017-10-23; known on 2022-10-24.

I've spent 200 hours on one particular project ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Mckiev on 2022-04-22; known on 2022-10-22.

I'm going to get blocks setup so that i check messaging once a day before 5 pm on laptop/only use phone for them by next Wednesday ( 80% confidence )

Created by rajlego on 2022-10-14; known on 2022-10-19.

Within ten years, at least one planet of < 3 Earth masses will be discovered in one of the liquid water habitable zones in the Alpha Centauri system. ( 43% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-10-17; known on 2022-10-18.

Within ten years, a planet will be discovered in at least one of the (liquid water) habitable zones in the Alpha Centauri system. ( 56% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-10-17; known on 2022-10-18.

test ( 10% confidence )

Created by tara on 2022-10-14; known on 2022-10-14.

Alex Azzi Prediction: He will earn 100k / mo $ PROFIT on the jewelry brand by October 2022 ( 70% confidence )

Created by maneesh on 2021-09-03; known on 2022-10-01.

The SpaceX BFS to Mars missions will not stick to the schedule announced at IAC 2017. ( 84% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-10-03; known on 2022-10-01.

Within 10 years I will be able to buy a 3D printed object at a local mall. ( 89% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by learnmethis on 2012-09-26; known on 2022-09-26.

It will be just as easy to view copyrighted films and tv shows online (with or without permission) in 10 years as it is now. ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by learnmethis on 2012-09-26; known on 2022-09-26.

Hans Dehmelt will become a centenarian ( 20% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-10; known on 2022-09-16.

[We will throw away the current data] within a year ( 70% confidence )

Created by beth_b on 2022-08-01; known on 2022-09-01.

Training a new adversarial policy against kata1-b40c256-s11840935168-d2898845681 at 1600 playouts using the same hyperparameters we've been using thus far will fail to achieve a win rate of more than 50%. ( 70% confidence )

Created by norabelrose on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-08-24.

Within the next ten years, Kepler 36b & Kepler 36c will be theorized in a peer-reviewed publication to be a case of planetary enucleation—b being the dense former core of c. ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-08-21; known on 2022-08-21.

Burning Man will not receive an event permit from the BLM for 2022 ( 30% confidence )

Created by rbierle on 2022-07-25; known on 2022-08-16.

I will drop out of my PhD program after 2 years ( 30% confidence )

Created by Radish on 2020-08-12; known on 2022-08-12.

Gas prices go up in one week ( 80% confidence )

Created by skcdsjfdfs on 2022-08-09; known on 2022-08-10.

Kari Lake will win the 2022 Arizona Republican gubernatorial nomination. ( 95% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by nmehndir on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-08-04.

The adversarial policies we've trained as of July 27, 2022 will have a win rate of under 50% against the medium KataGo checkpoint at 512 playouts with the hardened passing policy proposed by Tony. ( 85% confidence )

Created by norabelrose on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-07-30.

US govt won't file criminal charges against a C-level executive of an American bank in America for the next 10 years ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-07-23; known on 2022-07-23.

2206045074 CAO QUỲNH GIANG Hình ảnh khối tổn thương trong phần mềm dưới da vùng má phải chủ yếu là tín hiệu xơ. neurofibroma? ( 50% confidence )

Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-27; known on 2022-07-18.