Unjudged Predictions
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2206045654 NGUYỄN NGỌC KHÔI u tế bào khổng lồ bao gân gấp (Giant cell tumour of the tendon sheath). ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-27; known on 2022-07-18.
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5 or more people on the second meeting EA ( 95% confidence )
Created by Ionelo on 2022-06-16; known on 2022-07-18.
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I will visit Colombia in July ( 80% confidence )
Created by Andref2015 on 2021-12-07; known on 2022-07-16.
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2206041762 Hình ảnh các khối u trong ống sống ngang mức T12—>L2 và L4—>S2, theo dõi Myxopapillary ependymoma, chèn ép nón tủy và đuôi ngựa ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-22; known on 2022-07-13.
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2206008001 NGUYỄN THỊ DUNG Hình ảnh khối tổn thương ngấm thuốc góc dưới ngoài vú trái có hoại tử trung tâm (Kaiser Score 8 điểm – BIRADS 5). ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-27; known on 2022-07-11.
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Open Phil makes a grant to support clean meat within 5 years. ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2017-07-11; known on 2022-07-11.
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Medijastinuma tvorba 696396 ( 95% confidence )
Created by kpausek on 2022-06-26; known on 2022-07-10.
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Junior doctor's will strike against the decision of a 3% rise ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by razcle on 2021-07-22; known on 2022-07-01.
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Monkeypox reaches 50 in MA by July 1st ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Ionelo on 2022-06-16; known on 2022-07-01.
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There will be at least one implanted device (medical or otherwise) on the market that runs a Linux-based OS within the next 10 years. ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-07-01; known on 2022-07-01.
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Tech – Manifold Markets implements a public API allowing buying and selling in markets by the 1st of July 2022 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-17; known on 2022-07-01; judged unknown by jbeshir on 2022-02-18.
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Every member of the 30 person group of which I am thinking will achieve goal X in the next nine months ( 97% confidence )
Created by DiegoDuarte on 2021-09-25; known on 2022-06-30.
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Personal – In 1 year I will move to Missoula, MT ( 35% confidence )
Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2022-06-28.
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Personal – In 1 year I will move or have a firm plan to move (housing lined up, house for sale etc.) ( 60% confidence )
Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2022-06-28.
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2205049129 Hình ảnh khối dạng nang buồng trứng phải, có nốt đặc hạn chế khuếch tán và ngấm thuốc ở thành (ORADS 4). ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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2205053916 Hình ảnh khối dạng nang buồng trứng phải có vỏ và vách mỏng ngấm thuốc, ranh giới rõ (O-RADS 3). ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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2102013739 PHẠM VĂN LUÂN nang cạnh sụn chêm trong ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-22.
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By June 8, 2022, estimated US deaths for COVID-19 based on excess mortality will be less than 5 million deaths. ( 86% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-07; known on 2022-06-15.
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2205048464 dày thành đại tràng sigma ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-15.
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2104041357 LÊ THỊ HỒNG HIỂN Hình ảnh cấu trúc dạng nang nằm sát bờ dưới khớp cùng chậu phải, dịch bên trong không đồng nhất => Sinh thiết: ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-01; known on 2022-06-08.
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Iran will provide nuclear weapons to a terrorist group that will use one of them against israel or the united states ( 2% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-06; known on 2022-06-06.
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Venezuela and Cuba will join forces and sponsor marxist insurrection movements in one or more latin american countries, and those will cause at least one of {coup d'état,civil war,war} ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-06; known on 2022-06-06.
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Merlon intelligence will reach a billion dollar valuation in 5 years ( 20% confidence )
Created by Peteris on 2017-06-05; known on 2022-06-05.
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arriverà a 25.000 followers il 17 maggio ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Luca on 2021-11-23; known on 2022-05-17.
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All Georgia Tech classes go remote during the Spring 2022 semester ( 19% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by michaelchen on 2022-01-13; known on 2022-05-15.
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The moon will explode within a billion years ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by kriscooper000 on 2022-04-12; known on 2022-04-12; judged unknown by sty.silver on 2022-04-30.
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Ashley and I will make it to the movies. ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by ooga on 2022-04-03; known on 2022-04-03; judged unknown by rlourie on 2022-04-30.
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I will judge my decision to pay for wop+ to be a good investment in 18 months ( 83% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by grin on 2020-09-07; known on 2022-03-07.
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New Zealand will open borders to vaccinated travelers by February 2022 ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by enochthechronocom on 2021-09-08; known on 2022-02-15.
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Bugzy Malone will release a #1 UK album or EP in the next 5 years. (If he dies or goes to jail for more than 6 months this prediction will be withdrawn) ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by bendini on 2017-02-14; known on 2022-02-14.
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employer will approve my request to stay remote indefinitely ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2021-12-07; known on 2022-02-01.
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Germany to cancel phase-out of nuclear power by 2022. ( 22% confidence; 12 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by simplicio on 2013-01-18; known on 2022-02-01; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2022-03-12.
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I will complete and publish the scout mindset review by 2022-02-01 ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by blin on 2021-12-29; known on 2022-02-01.
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SpaceX to beat Boeing in their informal space race (first boots on Mars). ( 80% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2017-12-12; known on 2022-01-16.
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The average degree of automation changes for key US professions in between December 2020 and January 2022 by >1 (as assessed by this Metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6149/change-in-degree-of-automation/). ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2022-01-14.
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conditional on DOI: 10.1037/0022-3514.95.1.128 being replicated with a non W.E.I.R.D. sample of test subjects & n>=400, test subjects will be more or less accurate in assessment of likelihood of assistance given (prdcted M>24.5 or M<16.6) ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-07-16; known on 2022-01-02.
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Data published by Cisco in 2020 or 2021 about total volume of IP traffic per month in 2020 will show an amount more than 10% higher than their prediction of 228 EB. ( 39% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-11-05; known on 2022-01-02.
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Literature – Part three of the Kingkiller Chronicle trilogy is not going to be released before 2022-01-01. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by NickN on 2020-08-16; known on 2022-01-01.
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US bicycle mode share will increase in the 2020 Census over 2010 ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by btrettel on 2015-05-11; known on 2022-01-01.
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Open Philanthropy Project's December 2016 grant to Impact Justice's Restorative Justice Project will play an important role in getting traction for the concept of restorative justice on a national level (United States) by 2020-01-01 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2022-01-01.
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Lebron James will average a triple double in an NBA season during his career ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-29; known on 2022-01-01.
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My paper will not receive comments by the end of 2021. ( 80% confidence )
Created by jakebeardsley on 2021-12-17; known on 2022-01-01.
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Most of the gene sites accounting for the additive heritability of g (0.6) will be identified by 2021. — Steve Hsu ( 47% confidence; 8 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Pablo on 2012-10-13; known on 2022-01-01.
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Will Boston's snowfall in 2020-2021 be below average? ( 60% confidence )
Created by InquilineKea on 2020-12-01; known on 2022-01-01.
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There will NOT be any hyperinflation (>10% CBI compared to the previous year) in the USA in 2021 ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by The_Offwo on 2021-05-10; known on 2022-01-01.
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Between now and 2022, a religion, subsect, or religious movement will be founded and grow to over 10,000 followers that has explicit ties to Judaism/Christianity/Islam, but rejects the omnipotence of God. ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by HonoreDB on 2011-12-03; known on 2022-01-01.
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OoTS: MitD is the Snarl. ( 15% confidence; 11 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by ygert on 2013-06-30; known on 2022-01-01.
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Bharat will be ranked 4th in the world by 2021 for zinc production. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2021-12-25.
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Bharat will meet or exceed the Copenhagen pledge to reduce the emissions intensity of GDP by 20–25% in 2020 compared to 2005 levels. ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-04; known on 2021-12-25.