My teeth will require minor scraping at the dentist on Friday. ( 87% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-05; known on 2018-03-09; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-03-09.

My teeth will require major scraping at the dentist on Friday. ( 35% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-05; known on 2018-03-09; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-03-09.

I will have to schedule another appointment for further treatment following my dentist appointment this Friday. ( 4% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-05; known on 2018-03-09; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-03-09.

US unemployment to be higher at end of 2017 than beginning ( 35% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-10; known on 2018-03-01; judged wrong by playablecharacter on 2018-03-09.

Max and I will finish DIR Miniproject “music” on 08.03.2018. ( 35% confidence )

Created by JasperGeh on 2018-03-08; known on 2018-03-08; judged wrong by JasperGeh on 2018-03-08.

I will run >2500 miles in 2017 ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by tstelzig on 2017-01-04; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by tstelzig on 2018-03-05.

Politics, US – Deal struck before 5th of March 2018 that curbs family reunification and provides “Dreamers” with protection from deportation or a path to such. ( 9% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-02-10; known on 2018-03-05; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2018-03-05.

LTC cryptocurrency litecoin will hit $400 by 3/1/18 ( 25% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by DanMotorcycleGuy on 2018-01-29; known on 2018-03-02; judged wrong by DanMotorcycleGuy on 2018-03-02.

US GDP growth lower in 2017 than in 2016 ( 48% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-10; known on 2018-03-01; judged wrong by asdfjklasdfjkl on 2018-03-01.

In February, Bitcoin prices will hit an ATL. And also rise to within $3800 of the ATH ( 7% confidence; 9 wagers; 11 comments )

Created by Nve on 2018-01-01; known on 2018-03-01; judged wrong by ccokeefe on 2018-03-01.

There will be working blueprints for a space elevator by 2017. ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by iconreforged on 2012-01-27; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-02-26.

“Battle suits” will be ready for field testing by either US/NATO/China/Russia featuring exoskeleton, display over faceplate, power monitoring, health monitoring, integrating a weapon ( 22% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-02-26.

(&) will become idiomatic in widespread Haskell code, from the beginner level within two years ( 99% confidence )

Created by jle on 2014-07-26; known on 2016-07-26; judged wrong by enolan on 2018-02-26.

Within 5 years, 80% of the global population will own at least one mobile computing device (IBM “5 in 5” http://asmarterplanet.com/blog/2011/12/the-digital-divide-will-cease-to-exist.html) ( 28% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Laurent Bossavit on 2011-12-20; known on 2016-12-20; judged wrong by Laurent Bossavit on 2018-02-25.

In 5 years parasitic power collection will have become a significant market (IBM “5 in 5” http://ibmresearchnews.blogspot.com/2011/12/ibm-5-in-5-creating-energy-from.html) – for concreteness take “significant” to be $1Bn ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Laurent Bossavit on 2011-12-20; known on 2016-12-20; judged wrong by Laurent Bossavit on 2018-02-25.

Within 5 years, “mind reading” (BCI) will have progressed to the point where you can control an external device, e.g. place a call to a contact just by thinking it. (IBM's “5 in 5” http://asmarterplanet.com/blog/2011/12/the-next-5-in-5-mind-reading-is-no- ( 29% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Laurent Bossavit on 2011-12-20; known on 2016-12-20; judged wrong by Laurent Bossavit on 2018-02-25.

I finish 000003 22Feb18 ( 10% confidence )

Created by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-22; known on 2018-02-23; judged wrong by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-24.

000002 completed 22Feb18 ( 5% confidence )

Created by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-22; known on 2018-02-23; judged wrong by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-24.

000001 takes longer than 1 hour ( 10% confidence )

Created by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-22; known on 2018-02-23; judged wrong by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-24.

I finish 000000 22Feb18 ( 10% confidence )

Created by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-22; known on 2018-02-23; judged wrong by pkfalu92 on 2018-02-24.

I bet that when I get done with taking the PE, traveling around the world for ~14 months, I'll get a job in web development in Raleigh and invest in rental properties and hang out with Jay. ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Idrinkitup on 2015-11-01; known on 2017-08-01; judged wrong by Idrinkitup on 2018-02-23.

I will keep the laptop I ordered ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-01-21; known on 2018-02-21; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-02-22.

The new (not yet hired) person hired to be the Farm Animal Welfare Program Associate at the Open Philanthropy Project will be a member of the Effective Altruism Facebook group before the time they are hired ( 29% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by peter_hurford on 2017-10-12; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by peter_hurford on 2018-02-20.

JF will attend dinner tonight ( 35% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford on 2018-02-17; known on 2018-02-17; judged wrong by peter_hurford on 2018-02-18.

[This person will at some point be de jure president of Zimbabwe:] Morgan Tsvangirai ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2017-11-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-02-16.

Trump approval rating below 38% (according to 538 all-polls) ( 41% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by ioannes on 2017-10-02; known on 2017-12-01; judged wrong by jamesrom on 2018-10-22.

[Star Trek: Disco] Gur svanyr perngrf be qvfpbiref n gvzryvar jurer gur riragf bs gur cvybg bppheerq qvssreragyl. ( 40% confidence )

Created by HonoreDB on 2018-02-05; known on 2018-02-12; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2018-02-14.

I will not fall behind on my fitness goal this quarter. Meaning, specifically, that I will not have to lie to Beeminder twice in a row. ( 90% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Enzar on 2018-01-20; known on 2018-03-23; judged wrong by Enzar on 2018-02-13.

Main bitcoin branch/fork valued at $27,395 bitstampUSD ( 23% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-11; known on 2018-02-11; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-02-12.

Packers sign Milwaukee native Colin Kaepernick as QB, who leads them to the Superbowl ( 13% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by RandomThinker on 2017-10-16; known on 2018-02-10; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-02-12.

(@AudaciousEpigon or @Inductivist) gets suspended by twitter in 2017 along with at least one more HBD-associated with account. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-18; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2018-02-11.

STOCK- the US equity market will experience a mini-crash by the end of 2017 ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by juncholi on 2017-10-30; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by Flenser on 2018-02-09.