Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
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Amber Heard will be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp ( 50% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-20; known on 2023-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2022-06-01.
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An earthquake measuring 8.0 or above will occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022 ( 9% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-17; known on 2022-06-02; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-06-01.
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2205042200 VŨ DUY VỊNH Hình ảnh u thận phải, có phần thải thuốc và có vỏ- nghĩ đến RCC. Nang nhỏ thận phải. Nang nhỏ gan. Theo dõi sỏi thận trái ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-26; known on 2022-06-16; judged wrong by PowerPho on 2022-05-29.
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2205043310 Hamartoma hạ đồi ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-26; known on 2022-06-09; judged wrong by PowerPho on 2022-05-29.
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220504464 pilocystic astrocytoma tiểu não phải ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged wrong by PowerPho on 2022-05-29.
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2205041948 ung thư hay viêm tiền liệt tuyến ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-15; judged wrong by PowerPho on 2022-05-29.
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2205020046 Hình ảnh khối u sùi lớn trực tràng giữa, có nhiều hạch lân cận, chưa xâm lấn cân trực tràng, theo dõi xâm lấn mạch máu (T3cN2Mx, MRF (-), EMVI (+)). ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged wrong by PowerPho on 2022-05-29.
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2201007768 Hình ảnh u trực tràng thấp, chưa xâm lấn cân trực tràng, mạch máu, có nhiều hạch trong và ngoài cân trực tràng (T3bN2Mx, MRF (-), EMVI (-)) ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged wrong by PowerPho on 2022-05-29.
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2205044054 Rò hậu môn áp xe gian cơ thắt, lỗ trong 6h ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged wrong by PowerPho on 2022-05-29.
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2205044051 TRẦN MINH TUY u hố lưỡi thanh thiệt ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged right by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-06-03.
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I will have taken the Pledge ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by johnmichaelbridge on 2022-05-17; known on 2023-01-16; judged right by johnmichaelbridge on 2022-05-27.
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User Clouduknguyen_95 will realize that their predictions have been 'griefed' and will not make another public prediction related to medicine before June 25th ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-25; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-27.
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France will give up it's nuclear arsenal, france has 0 nuclear weapons left with no intent on acquiring them. ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-06; known on 2022-06-06; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-05-26.
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The Renminbi will eclipse the US dollar as Reserve Currency in 2022. Central banks will hold their reserves in renminbi instead of the USD as they currently do. The USD will be No2 instead of No1. The IMF will be the source of data. ( 15% confidence; 14 wagers; 14 comments )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-17; known on 2022-05-28; judged wrong by amadeu on 2022-05-26.
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[Australian Politics] The Australian Labor Party will win the next Federal Election ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Jeefy01 on 2019-06-12; known on 2022-05-30; judged right by amadeu on 2022-05-26.
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World – Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2022? ( 30% confidence )
Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-26; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by amadeu on 2022-05-26.
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CDC official count of at least one million official covid deaths in the US by October 1, 2022. ( 85% confidence; 26 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-01-14; known on 2022-10-02; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2022-05-26.
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Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev will remain in power as of May 15, 2022. ( 71% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Luke on 2022-01-11; known on 2022-05-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-26.
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Politics, US – Carrick Flynn wins the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th District ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-16; known on 2022-05-18; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-26.
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User Tapetum-Lucidum reveals themself to be user AgentOrange by judging this prediction right ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-26.
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2205034201 sán lá gan?? Bạch cầu ưa acid 50% ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-20; known on 2022-06-03; judged right by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25.
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2205036197 NGUYỄN THỊ THÚY Kí sinh trùng áp xe gan? ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-20; known on 2022-06-03; judged right by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2022-05-25.
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By 2022, autonomous drones will have been used by a government agency to kill someone. ( 53% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by gwern on 2012-08-04; known on 2022-08-04; judged right by atzeje on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 5: True ( 60% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 4: True ( 70% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 3: True ( 55% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 2: True ( 40% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged wrong by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Prediction 1: True ( 50% confidence )
Created by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23; known on 2022-06-01; judged right by OrangeJuice on 2022-05-23.
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Phùng Văn Vượng 31 Lymphoma/ Bệnh tủy tạo máu Leukemia ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-23; known on 2021-08-13; judged right by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Lê Thị Dung 34 67364 GCT with multiple aneurysms ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-25; known on 2021-08-08; judged right by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Mai Anh Tú 44 56931 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-25; known on 2021-08-15; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Cầm Văn Truyền 17 PA hố sau: 70% ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-29; known on 2021-08-19; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Vũ Thị Tăng 66 Meningioma at right cerebellapontine angle ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-29; known on 2021-08-19; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trịnh văn ngọc 25 2100074420 Multifocal GBM Anh Khuyên: glioma/ TS ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-30; known on 2021-08-20; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Nguyễn Thị Hoa 68 Chordoma ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-07-31; known on 2021-08-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Cao Xuân Hòa 34 U não ngấm thuốc viền, trung tâm dịch, tăng sinh mạch mạnh. GBM ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-03; known on 2021-08-24; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Phạm Duy Luận 56 Neuroenteric Cyst https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214751920304138 ( 90% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-03; known on 2021-08-24; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Ngô Đăng Khoa 66 u túi mật xâm lấn gan ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-06; known on 2021-08-27; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trần thị huê 39 Adenoma ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-09; known on 2021-08-30; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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trần thị thảo 41 Lao hay di căn đơn ổ lao 60% di căn 10% khác? ( 50% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-12; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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nguyễn văn sơn 48 76 059 astrocytoma tủy ( 80% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-12; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trần Đình Thoàn 30 Ependymoma or oligodendroglioma ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-12; known on 2021-09-02; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Nguyễn đăng cảnh 80 Chondrosarcoma ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-13; known on 2021-09-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Phạm thị xuân thu 46 tvdd di trú ( 70% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-13; known on 2021-09-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Trần xuân nam 17 Rò dnt xoang sàng trước ( 80% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-13; known on 2021-09-03; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Đặng quốc đại 81 U đồi thị Gbm or glioma ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-16; known on 2021-08-23; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Phan anh trường ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-24; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Đặng Thị Nguyệt 44 U nang thân tụy thông với ống tụy IPMN ( 60% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-17; known on 2021-08-31; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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Nguyen Luong Nhat Anh 15 glioma doi thi ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-08-24; known on 2021-08-26; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.
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LƯỜNG THỊ SƯƠNG / VDUH^2100079613 Hỉnh ảnh tổn thương chóp tủy như mô tả nghĩ đến nghĩ đến tổn thương viêm, đề nghị theo dõi và đánh giá lại sau đợt điều trị. ( 50% confidence )
Created by Clouduknguyen_95 on 2021-09-08; known on 2021-09-22; judged wrong by AgentOrange on 2022-05-23.