[Politics] Singapore to hold general election in 2019 ( 49% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-03.

Scotland will have another independence referendum and the result will be YES. ( 42% confidence; 16 wagers; 11 comments )

Created by splorridge on 2016-03-23; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-01-02.

Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment (inside of furniture, jewelry, walls, clothing, etc.). —Ray Kurzweil ( 27% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2020-01-02.

Functional Jubilee in the US ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-19; known on 2019-02-13; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2020-01-02.

North Korea will bomb someone before 2020 ( 9% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Ardenlk on 2017-12-30; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2020-01-02.

OOTS: Vaarsuvius's gender will be revealed in one of the comic strips or in the additional material of the published versions. ( 15% confidence; 4 comments )

Created by itaibn on 2013-05-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2020-01-02.

The Boy Scouts will admit openly atheist scouts before 2020 ( 27% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by btrettel on 2015-07-28; known on 2020-01-02; judged wrong by btrettel on 2020-01-02.

50% of all high school classes in the US to be taught online by 2019 (Clayton Christensen) ( 13% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by btrettel on 2020-01-02.

Before 2020 organized religions will have no political influence. ( 11% confidence; 22 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by TheScholar on 2010-09-18; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by jasticE on 2020-02-01.

2020: Less than 20% of the global student body is educated in brick-and-mortar schools/colleges. ( 12% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-02-25; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

Apple will buy Tesla by 2020 ( 17% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by ira on 2015-06-20; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

Vladimir Putin is not the President of Russia at the end of this prediction. ( 40% confidence; 16 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by kuudes on 2016-02-07; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

“Beto O’Rourke leads the Democratic field” ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

Maduro ousted before end of 2019 ( 29% confidence; 13 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-03-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2020-01-02.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a vote in parliament/legislature on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the eurozone ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Cody Garbrandt to fight again before 2019 EOY ( 44% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Shinya Aoki to be ONE lightweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 65% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Zebaztian Kadestam to be ONE welterweight champion at 2019 EOY ( 60% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-10; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

“Britain out of EU” ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-26; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Daniel Cormier is UFC heavyweight champion ( 23% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Robert Whittaker is UFC middleweight champion ( 48% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[OMX Tallinn] to outperform OMX Vilnius in 2019 ( 38% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-04; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Max Holloway is UFC featherweight champion ( 69% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Henry Cejudo is UFC flyweight champion ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

Joe Rogan to announce departure from UFC commentary by 2019 EOY ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-14; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Dominick Cruz is UFC bantamweight champion ( 6% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Joanne Calderwood to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Jessica Eye to be a UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting: As of 2019 EOY] Rose Namajunas is UFC strawweight champion ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-11; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.