United apologizes for conflict with engaged couple ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by EloiseRosen on 2017-04-17; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by EloiseRosen on 2017-05-01.

Politics, US – Steve Bannon is demoted in some fashion or leaves the White House before the end of April 2017 ( 47% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-08; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-05-01.

Kendrick's HUMBLE. youtube video has >1 billion views by May 1, 2017 ( 2% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by ioannes on 2017-04-14; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-05-01.

The United States will be in an active, major war with North Korea as of May 1, 2017. ( 8% confidence; 22 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-04-11; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2017-05-01.

By 2017-05-01 Mon 00:00: At some point by then, I will be >= 83.3…% confident that I had keto flu at some point between now and then. (Informally: I go out of ketosis by the end of April.) ( 29% confidence )

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-03-23; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-05-01.

By 2017-04-30 Sun: I will have implemented (in my judgement) changes to supplement timings to try to improve absorption/bioavailability. ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-03-23; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-05-01.

The total number of mobile web pageviews for the insects tag will be lower for April 2017 than for April 2016. ( 42% confidence )

Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-05-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2017-05-01.

Before May 2017 there will be a sub-$1000 (USD, pre-tax/shipping) VR HMD with >= 2K pixels (either direction) per eye, shipping to at least some of the general public ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-03-25; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2017-05-01.

Before May 2017, we will see authentic video footage of Donald Trump in the same room as one or more women urinating on a bed ( 11% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-01-11; known on 2017-05-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2017-05-01.

National Guard called in to shut down #WomensMarch, at least 1 dead ( 19% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-22; known on 2017-07-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-30.

Andrew Dice Clay provides comedy at the White House Correspondents' Dinne ( 9% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-19; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-30.

Jimmy Fallon provides comedy at the White House Correspondents' Dinner ( 8% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-19; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-30.

Jeff Foxworthy provides comedy at the White House Correspondents' Dinner ( 9% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-19; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-30.

President Trump will break from recent tradition and have either more than one comedic act the White House Correspondents' Dinner, or no comedian at all. ( 19% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by atomicspacemann on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-05-05; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-30.

Tear gas deployed in Berkeley today ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by ioannes on 2017-04-27; known on 2017-04-29; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-04-30.

Fires started during the Berkeley protest today ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by ioannes on 2017-04-27; known on 2017-04-29; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-04-30.

North Korea conducts a nuclear test within 21 days [2017-04-09] ( 51% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by two2thehead on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-04-30; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-04-30.

Milo Yiannopoulos provides light hearted commentary as comedic relief during White House Correspondents' Dinner ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-19; known on 2017-03-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-04-30.

I will get 56 hours of sleep between Sunday 23 April and Sunday 30 April. ( 70% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Mike on 2017-04-24; known on 2017-04-30; judged wrong by Mike on 2017-04-30.

I made top 200 on the Putnam. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by azax1 on 2016-12-06; known on 2017-04-02; judged wrong by azax1 on 2017-04-29.

Median score on the Putnam this year is >= 5. ( 60% confidence )

Created by azax1 on 2016-12-04; known on 2017-03-31; judged wrong by azax1 on 2017-04-29.

By 2017-04-16 Sun: I buy Olympic weightlifting shoes, squat shoes, or other shoes I deem similar (currently intended in plurality for squatting). ( 41% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-04-01; known on 2017-04-17; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2017-04-29.

There will be a Wikipedia page about Vipul Naik's paid editing of Wikipedia, as of April 1, 2018. ( 21% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Vipul Naik on 2017-03-12; known on 2018-04-02; judged wrong by Vipul Naik on 2018-04-02.

Google Project Glass will survive 5 years ( 57% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2013-05-03; known on 2018-05-03; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-28.

Politics, US – A member of the Trump campaign is arrested in connection with an investigation into communications with Russian agents or the Russian government before the end of 2017-04-22. ( 17% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-15; known on 2017-04-23; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2017-04-24.

President of France 2017 elections: Someone that is not Macron, Fillon, Le Pen or Melenchon makes to second round or wins on first round ( 23% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by kuudes on 2017-04-23; known on 2017-04-25; judged wrong by kuudes on 2017-04-24.

President of France 2017 elections: Melenchon makes to second round or wins on first round ( 29% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by kuudes on 2017-04-23; known on 2017-04-25; judged wrong by kuudes on 2017-04-24.

President of France 2017 elections: Fillon makes to second round or wins on first round ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by kuudes on 2017-04-23; known on 2017-04-25; judged wrong by kuudes on 2017-04-24.

North Korea conducts a nuclear test within 14 days [2017-04-09] ( 48% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by two2thehead on 2017-04-09; known on 2017-04-23; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-04-23.

English is Gab's second language. ( 65% confidence )

Created by Somni on 2017-04-23; known on 2017-04-23; judged wrong by Somni on 2017-04-23.