St. Louis Rams will beat New York Jets in Week 11 of the 2012 NFL Season ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by dwibby on 2012-11-16; known on 2012-11-18; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-19.

at least 5 birthday emails ( 70% confidence )

Created by The_sacred_Sponge on 2012-11-13; known on 2012-11-17; judged wrong by The_sacred_Sponge on 2012-11-17.

do coze workshop ( 75% confidence )

Created by The_sacred_Sponge on 2012-11-13; known on 2012-11-16; judged wrong by The_sacred_Sponge on 2012-11-17.

If I donate blood today, then I will feel sick within 60 minutes afterwards. ( 66% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-11-15; known on 2012-11-16; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-11-16.

NFL: Miami will cover against Buffalo on 11/15 (Buffalo favored by 1). ( 59% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-16; known on 2012-11-16; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-16.

NFL: Miami Dolphins will beat Buffalo Bills in Week 11 of the 2012 Season ( 80% confidence )

Created by dwibby on 2012-11-16; known on 2012-11-16; judged wrong by dwibby on 2012-11-16.

My application for Y Combinator will be good enough to get me an interview. ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by ggreer on 2012-11-03; known on 2013-11-16; judged wrong by ggreer on 2012-11-16.

Nobody will answer my SO question (http://stackoverflow.com/q/13387898/560791) with an answer that fixes the problem (i.e., allows the agent to run the main logic) within 48 hours. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Porejide on 2012-11-14; known on 2012-11-16; judged wrong by Emanuel Rylke on 2012-11-15.

'We are 100% certain that governments will start banning bitcoins in the next 12 to 18 months.' —Jason Calacanis ( 34% confidence; 18 wagers; 13 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-05-16; known on 2012-11-15; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-11-15.

If Ron Paul runs as a third party candidate in the 2012 presidential election, then he will receive greater than 10% of the popular vote. ( 41% confidence; 10 wagers; 17 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2012-11-07; judged wrong by ChristianKl on 2012-11-29.

If Ron Paul runs as a third party candidate in the 2012 presidential election, then he will receive greater than 10% of the popular vote. ( 41% confidence; 10 wagers; 17 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2012-11-07; judged wrong by ChristianKl on 2012-11-29.

I will receive a certificate of completion for 'Introduction to Mathematical Thinking'. ( 40% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-09-30; known on 2012-11-06; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-11-13.

I will receive a certificate of completion for 'Introduction to Logic'. ( 60% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-09-30; known on 2012-11-12; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-11-13.

I will receive a certificate of completion for 'Learn to Program: The Fundamentals'. ( 50% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-09-30; known on 2012-11-13; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-11-13.

Gene Munster: Apple will sell 1-1.5 million iPad Minis this weekend (compared with 3 million 3rd Gen iPads sold in its launch weekend in March). ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-02; known on 2012-11-30; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-12.

In 2012, Democrats will make gains in both the House and Senate, but will fail to wrest control of the Senate from the GOP. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2012-11-08; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-12.

Tori Dykes' tweet (https://twitter.com/toridykes/status/266032621690171392) will not reach 2,000 RTs by Sunday. ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by alecbrooks on 2012-11-09; known on 2012-11-11; judged wrong by Emanuel Rylke on 2012-11-11.

No new seats in Congress for Third Party or Independent candidates in 2012. ( 85% confidence; 6 wagers; 52 comments )

Created by smijer on 2012-01-10; known on 2012-11-10; judged wrong by smijer on 2012-11-10.

“Newt Gingrich to be Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012.” -Intrade ( 18% confidence; 12 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-28; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by Qiaochu on 2012-11-10.

GJP: September 2011 Questions: #1002: Who will be inaugurated as President of Russia in 2012? (a) Medvedev ( 50% confidence )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2012-12-30; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.

Gabby Giffords (the congresswoman who was shot in 2011) will be attacked in a political ad in 2012 ( 35% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-07-26; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.

Akin to get at least 40% of the vote in the Missouri election (conditional on him not dropping out). ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2012-08-23; known on 2012-11-10; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.

Mitt Romney will win the popular vote in the 2012 US election ( 37% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-26; known on 2012-11-10; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.

Mitt Romney will change his position to the GOP platform of banning all abortion even in the case of incest and rape. ( 14% confidence; 7 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-08-22; known on 2012-11-07; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.

At least one presidential debate of 2012 will include a question about “anti-capitalism”. ( 39% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2012-11-07; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-11-08.

Dexter season 7: I will call one major twist in the final episode of the season halfway through. ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by muflax on 2011-12-19; known on 2012-12-19; judged wrong by muflax on 2012-11-07.