PCB finished and sent for printing by end of week 7 ( 30% confidence )

Created by Jach on 2013-10-23; known on 2013-11-15; judged wrong by Jach on 2013-11-17.

Time-lapse dolly motorized and controlled by uC by end of week 7 ( 30% confidence )

Created by Jach on 2013-10-23; known on 2013-11-15; judged wrong by Jach on 2013-11-17.

Auburn will complete a certain 3rd down in today's football game. ( 66% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-17; known on 2013-11-17; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-17.

Florida State will exceed 60 points in today's football game. ( 75% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-16; known on 2013-11-17; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-17.

HP:MoR: Review-count of MoR to surpass UC within a year. ( 25% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-11-16; known on 2013-11-16; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-16.

Obama's approval rating will exceed 55% on average for the next 12 months (Nov 12 -> Nov 13) ( 46% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-12; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-16.

“Lindsay Lohan will be dead within 2 years.” ( 8% confidence; 16 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-16; known on 2013-11-16; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-11-16.

Mark Cuban will lose his insider trading case ( 65% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-10-02; known on 2014-03-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-14.

The title of OOTS #930 will be “The” or “The Rift”. ( 62% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by ygert on 2013-11-13; known on 2013-11-20; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-11-14.

http://www.rememberthe13th.com/ NASA has made a historic discovery that will shake the entire planet. This announcement will be released to the media on November 13th, 2013. It will be a day to remember and One for the history books. Nothing world sha ( 9% confidence; 11 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by mimosomal on 2013-10-04; known on 2013-11-13; judged wrong by procran on 2013-11-13.

Anthony Weiner will be elected mayor of New York City. ( 17% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by andrevan on 2013-04-27; known on 2013-11-16; judged wrong by HonoreDB on 2013-11-13.

I will post something new on my blog before November. ( 45% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-10-24; known on 2013-11-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-11-11.

The Bills will score a touchdown on a certain drive today. ( 33% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-10; known on 2013-11-10; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-10.

SR: the dk.onion forums will become inaccessible on or before 9 November 2013 ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2013-10-05; known on 2013-11-10; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-10.

Python SAR algorithm done by end of week 6 ( 80% confidence )

Created by Jach on 2013-10-23; known on 2013-11-08; judged wrong by Jach on 2013-11-09.

Members of the U.S. House of Representatives will form an “Occupy Caucus” with at least five members within a year after the 2012 elections. ( 27% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known on 2013-11-06; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-11-06.

“The Iraqi Dinar will revalue, and reach a value of 3 Dinars per 1 U.S. dollar, or better, by November 6/2013. Currently, as of November 6/08, the exchange rate is 1176 Iraqi Dinars, per U.S. dollar.” ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2013-11-06; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-06.

NGE: Sadamoto's Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as Last B ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2013-07-26; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-05.

NGE: Sadamoto's Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as Last A ( 5% confidence )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2013-07-26; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-05.

NGE: Sadamoto's Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as EoTV ( 10% confidence )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2013-07-26; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-05.

NGE: Sadamoto's Eva manga will conclude with substantially the same ending as the NGE64 variant of EoE ( 26% confidence )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2013-07-26; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-11-05.

Christine Quinn will be elected mayor of New York City in the upcoming election (regardless of whether there is a runoff election or not). ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Peter Hurford on 2013-06-10; known on 2013-11-05; judged wrong by Peter Hurford on 2013-11-05.

This web project will be closed down before most of the long term predictions can be judged. ( 24% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by thaprophet on 2011-11-04; known on 2013-11-04; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-11-04.

I will have watched every video on Khan Academy by August 2013. ( 39% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Alexander Kruel on 2011-08-17; known on 2013-08-17; judged wrong by dk on 2013-11-04.

My personal website will be up-and-running again by the end of the month ( 1% confidence )

Created by tylercurtis on 2013-10-06; known on 2013-11-01; judged wrong by tylercurtis on 2013-11-04.

I will spend at least 5 minutes per day reviewing Anki decks for the remainder of October. ( 60% confidence )

Created by tylercurtis on 2013-10-03; known on 2013-11-01; judged wrong by tylercurtis on 2013-11-04.

I got less than 29 points on Part I of my algorithms midterm. ( 13% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-10-16; known on 2013-11-06; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-03.

All needed parts ordered by end of week 5 ( 60% confidence )

Created by Jach on 2013-10-23; known on 2013-11-01; judged wrong by Jach on 2013-11-02.