Will change Windows' display language to Japanese today. ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-02; known on 2012-01-03; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-01-02.

Copying the ja-jp registry key from my laptop to my PC and deleting the en-us key will change my PC's display language to Japanese. ( 10% confidence )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-02; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-01-02.

Manual install will work on my PC. ( 40% confidence )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-02; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-01-02.

Fix 50528 fixed the problem. ( 40% confidence )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-02; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-01-02.

Repairing .NET client profile will fix the error. ( 10% confidence )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-02; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-01-02.

Madonna's new movie “W.E.” will get 80% or better from critics on Rotten Tomatoes ( 41% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Øx on 2011-08-29; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.

“bre Pettis is profiled in the New Yorker.” —Joris Peels ( 5% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.

'Adobe will buy Autodesk in 2011.' —Joris Peels ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2012-01-02.

Before 2012 Apple will (start to) phase out the CD/DVD drives from all it's MacBooks. ( 73% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by TheScholar on 2010-10-16; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2012-01-02.

'1.8-inch and 3.5-inch [hard] disk drives will die' and 2.5 inch drives thrive in 2011 —Robert X. Cringely ( 15% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-06; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2012-01-02.

'Microsoft buys Dassault Systemes in 2011.' —Joris Peels ( 5% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-16; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.

I will be raided or searched over my Silk Road article. ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-07-12; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-02.

“Yingluck Shinawatra to depart as Prime Minister of Thailand before 1 January 2012” -ipredict ( 10% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-10-26; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

Greece will leave the European Union by 2012 ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Gedusa on 2011-09-13; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

NGE: Rebuild 3.0 will be released in 2011 ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

NGE: 3.0 will be titled “You Can (Not) Be Replaced” ( 10% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

NGE: 3.0 will be titled “You Can (Not) Die” ( 15% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

'There will be a second season of High School of the Dead' —Sketerpot ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

'There will be a second season of High School of the Dead' —Sketerpot ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

“Same sex marriages to resume in California before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011” —Intrade ( 5% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-08-24; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

The Notenki Memoirs will be available as an official commercial ebook in 2011. ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-18; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

A copyright takedown notice for The Notenki Memoirs will be sent to me in 2011. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-18; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

“By 2012, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times will have referred to Russia as “the world leader in software development” or words to that effect.” ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

“Rupert Murdoch to announce departure as chairman of News Corporation before 2012” -ipredict ( 4% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

Apple buys Time Warner Cable in 2011 —Robert X. Cringeley ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

Yahoo will sell its Yahoo Japan shares in 2011. —Robert X. Cringely ( 30% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-06; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

“There will be no significant newspapers printed on newsprint in the US by 2012.” (By significant, he seems to mean major market with a traditionally wide circulation.) —Seth Godin ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-05; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

“The Mediterranean bluefin breeding population will disappear by 2012 under the current fishing regime.” —Sergi Tudela ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-04; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

Yahoo will sell its Chinese assets in 2011. —Robert X. Cringely ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-06; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

“By 2012, current venture capital- and privately-funded methods of DNA sequencing, independent of any additional “incremental improvements” will be made obsolete by the technology described in The Economist (October 25th – 31st 2008; US print edition, p.8 ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

Readers' Choice for Time's 2011 Person of the Year: Anonymous —Seamus Condron ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

Final Fantasy XIV announced by Sony in 2011. —Game Informer ( 55% confidence; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

My scheduler, Sparking Now, completed to a usable level this year. ( 30% confidence )

Created by Nic_Smith on 2011-04-12; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2012-01-01.

Groupon will buy Foursquare in 2011 —Seamus Condron ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-02; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-01-01.

“The Chicago Spire to be officially opened before midnight ET on 31 Dec 2012” —Intrade ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-08-14; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-12-31.

“The Chicago Spire to be officially opened before midnight ET on 31 Dec 2012” —Intrade ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-08-14; known on 2012-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-12-31.

'I get a “real job”: 1%' —CronoDAS ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-10; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2012-01-01.

Will change Windows' display language to Japanese today. ('今日は、Ｗｉｎｄｏｗｓの表語を日本語に変わります'?) ( 60% confidence )

Created by Anubhav on 2012-01-01; known on 2012-01-02; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-01-01.

'I qualify for the Magic Pro Tour: 1%' —CronoDAS ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-10; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2012-01-01.

'A Computer Scientist will win a Nobel Prize.' —Lipton ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-06-27; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-01.