Rashi will score over 90% on her boards. ( 85% confidence )

Created by Anubhav on 2011-12-22; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by Anubhav on 2012-06-04.

I will complete my daily Anki review within the next 10 hours. ( 50% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-03; known on 2012-06-03; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-03.

I will complete chapter 2 of the All-In-One LPIC-1/CompTIA Linux+ Certification Exam Guide within the next 10 hours. ( 75% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-03; known on 2012-06-03; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-03.

GJP: #1036 Will media reports indicate that Iraq has experienced a military coup (or attempted coup) before 1 June 2012? ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-11-08; known on 2012-06-02; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-02.

GJP: #1050 Will the next Palestinian general election commence by 1 June 2012? ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-12-19; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-01.

GJP: #1049 Will Asif Ali Zardari resign, lose re-election/confidence vote, or vacate the office of President of Pakistan before 1 June 2012? ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-12-14; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-01.

Evangelion manga: Third Impact will be controlled by/center around Asuka ( 5% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-05-02; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-01.

Jeb Bush will announce a candidacy for president in 2012 ( 9% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-11-09; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-01.

GJP: #1054 Will a North Korean or multinational military force fire on, invade, or enter South Korea before 1 June 2012? ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-12-19; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-06-01.

“I expect Apple to move to a modular architecture where the building blocks for high performance computers are generally Mac Minis.” —Robert X Cringely ( 22% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-08-23; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by Michael Stevens on 2012-06-01.

I will run 4 miles in 30 minutes or less before June 2012. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-12-19; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-06-01.

Reddit: birdie / cheese are in a relationship in 6 months (and we get an update). ( 19% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by muflax on 2011-12-01; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by muflax on 2012-06-01.

I will reread chapter 2 of the All-In-One CompTIA Network+ Exam Guide within the next 3 hours. ( 75% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-31; known on 2012-05-31; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-31.

In my Wikipedia experiment, >=90% of the links will be restored. ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-04-15; known on 2012-06-15; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-05-30.

In my Wikipedia experiment, >=50% of the links will be restored. ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-04-15; known on 2012-06-15; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-05-30.

I will achieve a passing score on practice test #2. ( 80% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-22; known on 2012-05-30; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-30.

The Pittsburgh Penguins will defeat the Philadelphia Flyers in 7 games in the 2012 Stanley Cup Playoffs ( 13% confidence )

Created by Cy Fleming on 2012-04-19; known on 2012-04-25; judged wrong by Cy Fleming on 2012-05-30.

I will complete The Command Line Crash Course by Zed A. Shaw within a week from now. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-22; known on 2012-05-29; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-29.

I will listen to the entire lecture series Practicing Mindfulness: An Introduction to Meditation by Mark W. Muesse within the next 3 weeks. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-04-25; known on 2012-05-16; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-26.

I will abstain from sexual activity (porn, masturbation, orgasm) until January 31st, 2012. ( 45% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Arkanj3l on 2011-10-20; known on 2012-01-31; judged wrong by Arkanj3l on 2012-05-26.

I will achieve a passing score on both practice tests. ( 65% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-22; known on 2012-05-24; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-22.

I will achieve a passing score on practice test #1. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-22; known on 2012-05-22; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-22.

Daily average click-through to DNB FAQ will be be <5% during the Talk-only period as compared to the previous Article-only period, and the difference will be significant at p<0.05 ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2012-02-09; known on 2012-05-21; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-05-20.

Daily average click-through to DNB FAQ will be be <5% during the Talk-only period as compared to the previous Article-only period. ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2012-02-09; known on 2012-05-21; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-05-20.

Harvard's yield for the class of 2016 will be 76% or below. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-12-11; known on 2012-05-20; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-05-20.

Facebook IPO price will “pop” above $45 on first day ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-05; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2012-05-18.

this will be the most popular prediction EVER ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Glenn on 2008-08-02; known on 3008-08-02; judged wrong by Grognor on 2012-05-17.